Feedback

All Bets

Will Mexico Pay For The Wall?

Will Mexico Pay For The Wall?
Category: 
Politics
By 
Alaric
Share

Description

Assuming the wall is built, will Mexico pay for it?

Decision Logic

The bet resolves as one of the options below provided the wall starts construction within the deadline. The bet resolves as the option "The wall is not built" if no decision can be reached by the deadline of this bet.

Mexico pays entirely means that they pay via any means (directly, tariffs, etc) the entire cost.

Mexico pays partially means they do pay via any means (directly, tariffs, etc) some of the cost.

This bet cancels if Trump is not the president.

CLOSING IN2017-11-08 05:00:00

5:45AM, Nov 9, 2016 UTC

5:00AM, Nov 8, 2017 UTC

6:00AM, Nov 8, 2017 UTC

35.795xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.743

Mexico Pays Entirely.
Volume: 0.092
3.78602014
# of Bets: 6
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Mexico Pays Partially.
Volume: 0.325
13.721525
# of Bets: 6
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Mexico Pays Nothing.
Volume: 0.109
4.404255
# of Bets: 9
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

The Wall is Not Built.
Volume: 0.217
9.3258941
# of Bets: 11
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Discussion

Login or Sign Up to comment.

lewren 9:02AM, Jan 12, 2017 UTC
Mexico will pay for the wall by reimbursements, according to Trump from his first press conference : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gVBK_eGlqU
Luffy 12:59AM, Nov 15, 2016 UTC
i imagine if they pay nothing at the start it goes to purple? when is this bet called? when the plans are given out? another question if there is no plans yet for mexico to pay for it what does that fall under?
ForexSpider 11:59PM, Nov 10, 2016 UTC
you can also bet on the distance of the wall here: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/how-long-the-us-mexico-wall-will-be-2285#bets-1
BetMoose 4:26AM, Nov 10, 2016 UTC
The bet logic has been updated to be more clear.
freedom 1:05AM, Nov 10, 2016 UTC
If they put in Cameras that Mexico pays the criteria may be tricky
Alaric 8:31PM, Nov 9, 2016 UTC
Very good questions I've put in a ticket to edit the bet.
zeiger 5:11PM, Nov 9, 2016 UTC
Yeah, Mexico is obviously not going to cut a check for the wall. But there's a million ways to make them pay for it. For example, there's like 40 billion dollars in remittances going to mexico from immigrants in the US. Making that illegal would qualify as Mexico paying towards the wall. Tarriffs, immigration reform, etc could be used to penalize mexico without requiring their consent. Thus, you need to be more clear about these things in the bet description.
bill_b 2:00PM, Nov 9, 2016 UTC
How would increased tariffs on Mexico, even if not directly going to the budget of the wall, be considered?

Direct Link (click to highlight):

BBCode (forums):

Anonymous Bet - care to Login or Sign Up?

Placing bet on ""

Send winnings to:


*For use with standalone wallets (bitcoin-qt, electrum).
Shared wallets (btc-e, cryptsy) will not work!

Proceed

Send your bet to this address:

1EbocQk64Kh3bXVEebPcsCtcJoB2mRwNhk

* Minimum bet is 0.005 BTC

Your bet will be automatically entered when picked up - no confirmations needed!

Done