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Will Ross Ulbricht get a new trial?

Will Ross Ulbricht get a new trial?
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Description

Ross Ulbricht was convicted of running the Silk Road website and given a life sentence.
 
In his appeal he asks for a new trial because the judge and defense had previously not been told about corrupt FBI agents.
 
In October 2016 the federal court of appeal heard oral arguments.
 
Update: In May 2017 Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit denied Ross Ulbricht's appeal.

Decision Logic

This bet resolves to "Yes" as soon as any court of law with proper jurisdiction grants Ross Ulbricht a new trial. Initially, we will look at major media reports, such as reuters.com, bbc.co.uk, cnn.com, etc. However, the bet will resolve to "Yes" only if the actual court opinion can be found and consulted to verify that it actually grants a new trial. Once a new trial is granted it doesn't matter if that decision then gets reversed or if for any reason no new trial occurs.

3687
CLOSING IN2017-07-16 23:59:00

3:03AM, Jul 17, 2016 UTC

11:59PM, Jul 16, 2017 UTC

11:59PM, Jul 31, 2017 UTC

RESOLVED AT 12:04AM, Aug 1, 2017 UTC

Total Volume: 0.5734

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "No"

0.57341785 was split between 11 bettors.
YES
Volume:0.1000
4.4765
# of Bets:1
NO
Volume:0.4734
5.14893369
# of Bets:11

Discussion

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Avalon 3:28AM, Jul 17, 2017 UTC
Finally, consider creating fixed odds bets to lock in odds. If anyone has any other suggestions we would be happy to hear them. Please tag @Avalon and @BetMoose
Avalon 3:27AM, Jul 17, 2017 UTC
FYI that late multiplier is miniscule compared to the early ones. It's a late but completely valid wager. Our recommendation is to add weight to your wagers by either betting earlier or with larger amounts. 0.22 at 1x is equal to 0.005 at 44x. 4.4 btc at 1x has same weight as 0.1 at 44x. The larger your initial value the more expensive it is to cancel out
Avalon 3:23AM, Jul 17, 2017 UTC
The large late leechers win nothing - their winnings basically pay the host, miner and BetMoose in fees. Not sure what's going on here - wouldn't make sense for us to do it as we'd just be paying host more and earning nothing extra. Doesn't make sense for the host to do it either as the commission is shared with BetMoose...
praine 3:49AM, Jul 15, 2017 UTC
Agreed. I had a 100% return reduced down to about 35%. I'm not going to place any more bets on long term events unless this is fixed because it isn't fair for early bettors. Punish late bettors. Make them pay their share of commission.
kolotoure77294 12:39PM, Jul 10, 2017 UTC
Second time this month a leech has bet big... to win nothing in return. Only result is increased commission and lower returns for everyone else. Not good. @Avalon
higgsboson 7:08PM, May 31, 2017 UTC
On 31 May 2017 Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit denied Ross Ulbricht's appeal. The bet remains unresolved as denial of appeal is not part of the Decision Logic.
zoidberg 10:35AM, Jul 17, 2016 UTC
I had some extremely bad luck lately - it's nearly impossible for me to get anything right. No chance, I could win a bet which resolves next year. So I hope that my bit-cent placed on NO will eventually get Ross a justice and set him free from jail.

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