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Will SCOTUS stay the Biden Admin's vaccine mandates?

Will SCOTUS stay the Biden Admin's vaccine mandates?
Category:
Politics
By
Porky
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Description

Two cases relating to the Biden administration's vaccine mandates are being heard by the Supreme Court: NFIB v. Dept of Labor and Biden v. Missouri. Will the attempt by the Biden administration to force people to choose between taking experimental vaccines (that don't even work) vs. getting fired from their jobs be blocked by SCOTUS?

Decision Logic

BOTH MANDATES STAYED: SCOTUS issues stays in both cases.

HHS ALLOWED, OSHA STAYED: SCOTUS allows the HHS mandate for healthcare workers to take effect but stays the OSHA mandate for all workers in large companies.

HHS STAYED, OSHA ALLOWED : SCOTUS allows the OSHA mandate to take effect, but stays the HHS mandate for healthcare workers.

BOTH MANDATES ALLOWED: SCOTUS allows both mandates to take effect.

Anti-leech provision: Bets will be frozen as soon as EITHER ONE of the Opinions is issued.

Early resolution is possible (and likely) once BOTH final Opinions have been issued (which, frankly, I expect by mid-February, but maybe they'll keep extending temporary stays until finally releasing the Opinions at the end of June).

9:40PM, Jan 7, 2022 UTC

5:00AM, Jan 12, 2022 UTC

4:12PM, Jan 21, 2022 UTC

Early Outcome

CANCELLED

This bet has been cancelled!

Reason: Only one person bet on it. Next time, try sharing it with others!

BOTH MANDATES STAYED
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
HHS ALLOWED, OSHA STAYED
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
HHS STAYED, OSHA ALLOWED
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
BOTH MANDATES ALLOWED
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0

Discussion

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Porky 1:50AM, Jan 14, 2022 UTC
NPR's original article was issued at 2:45pm Eastern time. Archive.org link to the original article: http://web.archive.org/web/20220113214040/https://www.npr.org/2022/01/13/1072165393/supreme-court-blocks-bidens-vaccine-or-test-mandate-for-large-private-companies
Porky 1:39AM, Jan 14, 2022 UTC
SCOTUSBlog with its analysis at 4:41pm: https://www.scotusblog.com/2022/01/fractured-court-blocks-vaccine-or-test-requirement-for-large-workplaces-but-green-lights-vaccine-mandate-for-health-care-workers/ Zerohedge with its article at 2:32pm: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/supreme-court-blocks-bidens-osha-vaxx-mandate
Porky 1:37AM, Jan 14, 2022 UTC
Anonymous's bet was placed too late, 9:48pm UTC on the 13th, which was 4:48pm Eastern time. The SCOTUS decision was released some time prior to 2:32pm, which is the earliest news article I've found (in about five minutes of searching) referencing it. Unfortunately no one other than myself bet prior to the outcome being known.

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