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Will the Supreme Court Dobbs Opinion Leaker be caught?

Will the Supreme Court Dobbs Opinion Leaker be caught?
Category:
Politics
By
Porky
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Description

On May 2, 2022, someone leaked a draft opinion in the US Supreme Court case Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health. This was the first time in history that someone had violated the confidentiality of the Supreme Court's decision-making process, and has resulted in widespread protests, vandalism, arson attacks against pro-birth counseling services' offices, and even an assassination attempt against Justice Kavanaugh.
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The Court is now searching to try to figure out who violated their ethics obligations and nondisclosure agreements. Was it a clerk? Was it one of the justices? Will they ever figure out who did it?

Decision Logic

JUSTICE-LEFT - Sotomayor, Kagan, Breyer, or Brown-Jackson
JUSTICE-RIGHT - Roberts, Alito, Thomas, Gorsuch, Kavanaugh, or Barrett
CLERK-LEFT - one of the clerks or other employees for any of the three Democrat justices or Jackson-Brown
CLERK-RIGHT - one of the clerks or other employees for any of the six Republican justices
NO OR NONE OF THE ABOVE - anyone who is not an employee of a specific justice (e.g., janitorial staff), or not found.
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Note: Ketanji Brown Jackson is included because it is possible she had access after her nomination and confirmation.
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Early resolution is possible at any time if the leaker is found.

CLOSING IN2023-06-15 05:00:00

9:41PM, Jun 16, 2022 UTC

5:00AM, Jun 15, 2023 UTC

5:00AM, Jun 17, 2023 UTC

RESOLVED AT 12:19AM, Jun 22, 2023 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0207

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "NO OR NONE OF THE ABOVE"

0.0206855 was split between 8 bettors.
JUSTICE-LEFT
Volume:0.0006
0.0140945
# of Bets:2
JUSTICE-RIGHT
Volume:0.0001
0.001927
# of Bets:1
CLERK-LEFT
Volume:0.0015
0.0415675
# of Bets:2
CLERK-RIGHT
Volume:0.0001
0.001927
# of Bets:1
NO OR NONE OF THE ABOVE
Volume:0.0184
0.31864912
# of Bets:8

Discussion

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freedom 2:11AM, Jun 22, 2023 UTC
Looks like they needed Scooby Doo and His Gang of Meddling Kids :)
Porky 12:21AM, Jun 22, 2023 UTC
No catch, sad panda. :-(
Porky 8:54PM, May 25, 2023 UTC
A few weeks ago, Alito said he's "pretty sure" he knows who the leaker was, but that they don't have enough evidence to name or charge the person. :-( https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/04/28/alito-leaker-dobbs-wsj/ Note, I don't consider this to be a way to resolve the bet, since no names are named and no proof is being offered. I'm just mentioning the latest (indeed only) news I've seen on this.

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