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Will there be a Bitcoin hard fork in 2017?

Will there be a Bitcoin hard fork in 2017?
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Bitcoin
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Description

Will Bitcoin have a majority hard fork in 2017?

Decision Logic

If more than half of Bitcoin's mining power activates and successfully carries out a hard fork which 7 days later is still the majority version of Bitcoin, this bet resolves as YES.
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'carries out a hard fork' = the mining of a block incompatible with old versions.
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'majority version of Bitcoin' = messured by market cap, hashing power and longest chain.

CLOSING IN2017-02-01 00:00:00

10:15AM, Oct 15, 2016 UTC

12:00AM, Feb 1, 2017 UTC

12:00AM, Jan 1, 2018 UTC

WAITING FOR OUTCOME

Total Volume: 1.015

This bet is waiting for its outcome.

The outcome will be known in: 17 Days.
YES
Volume:0.491
2.87112412
# of Bets:8
NO
Volume:0.524
2.93397539
# of Bets:8

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