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Will Trump be convicted of election fraud?

Will Trump be convicted of election fraud?
Category:
Politics
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Description

Donald Trump was recorded calling Georgia’s Secretary of State and asking him to "to find 11,780 votes" to overturn Georgia's election.

The district attorney of Fulton County, Georgia, has opened a criminal investigation into this call.

He also called election officials in Wayne County, Michigan, asking them to "rescind" their votes on whether to certify Michigan's results.

Any person who “solicits, requests, commands, importunes, or otherwise attempts to cause the other person” to falsify voting records is guilty of “criminal solicitation to commit election fraud in the first degree.”

Will any of these actions result in a conviction of election fraud?

Decision Logic

YES: Trump has been convicted of election fraud, in any US jurisdiction, by July 2021
NO: Trump is not convicted of election fraud

CLOSING IN2021-05-19 04:00:00

6:37PM, Feb 11, 2021 UTC

4:00AM, May 19, 2021 UTC

4:00AM, Jul 1, 2021 UTC

RESOLVED AT 4:02AM, Jul 1, 2021 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0027

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "No"

0.0027 was split between 4 bettors.
YES
Volume:0.0003
0.0037695
# of Bets:1
NO
Volume:0.0024
0.024432
# of Bets:4

Discussion

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f84jf85hg7g 2:46PM, Oct 5, 2021 UTC
Way too early of a deadline, I guess. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/oct/05/donald-trump-criminal-investigations-georgia-election-interference
f84jf85hg7g 4:03AM, Jul 1, 2021 UTC
Should have made the deadline much longer
f84jf85hg7g 9:34PM, May 16, 2021 UTC
'The Georgia prosecutor investigating potential efforts by Donald Trump to influence last year’s general election is urging people to be patient. Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis told The Associated Press this week that she's in “no rush."' :/
f84jf85hg7g 11:41PM, Feb 16, 2021 UTC
"The earliest a grand jury could convene in the case would be March, Willis said, adding that she would not put a timetable on how long the investigation will take."

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