Will Trump be POTUS on March-01-2021 at 12pm ET?
Description
This is as clear and unambiguous of a bet as it gets. Will Trump officially be the PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES on March First, 2021 at 12 pm eastern time, or not?
Many other elections-related bets have somewhat unclear resolution criteria and leave room for disagreement. Here, however, the idea here is that picking an explicit resolution based on the fixed date of March first, 2021 at 12 pm ET ought to 1) give enough time for both campaigns to "play all of their cards", 2) simultaneously remove any possible ambiguity from the betting decision.
Decision Logic
Due to the complexity of this election and to ongoing legal actions by the Trump team and possible retort by the Biden team, this bet will resolve at EXACTLY March first, 2021 at 12 pm eastern time. The bet is won if and only if Trump is officially the president of the United States on March first, 2021 at 12 pm eastern time, and is lost if he is not.
In the unlikely event that the Trump and/or the Biden teams are still battling it out in courts on March first, 2021, or in some other theater, such that the winner is still not clear, the bet will STILL resolve on exactly that date based on who is president at that date and time.
9:52PM, Dec 7, 2020 UTC
4:30PM, Mar 1, 2021 UTC
5:00PM, Mar 1, 2021 UTC
CANCELLED
This bet has been cancelled!
Reason: No one bet on it. Next time, try sharing it with others!
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ROI 0%