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Will Trump Last One Year?

Will Trump Last One Year?
Category:
Politics
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Description

As the oldest individual to assume what is considered the most stressful job in the world, Donald's health becomes a significant question. Will he stand resilient or fall to the rigours of the job?

This wager focuses on just the first year and covers any removal from office, health or otherwise. Will he still be President one year in?

Decision Logic

If any permanent removal from office occurs by January 20th, 2026 11:30 AM ET, this market will resolve to NO. Article 3 or other temporary measures would still resolve as YES.
Resolution will rely on official documentation and reputable outlets such as AP, Reuters, Politico, White House announcements, and Congressional records.

CLOSING IN2026-01-01 16:30:00

4:57PM, Jan 20, 2025 UTC

4:30PM, Jan 1, 2026 UTC

4:30PM, Jan 20, 2026 UTC

35.460xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0010

YES
Volume: 0.0010
0.04018
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

NO
Volume: 0.0000
0
# of Bets: 0
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Discussion

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Sargesteve 5:38PM, Feb 5, 2025 UTC
Was trying to avoid anything suggesting wishing death on someone, but yes. Any removal from office that isn't a temporary measure would count as a permanent removal. Death, whatever the cause, would be a permanent removal. I'll update the description to address it a bit.
f84jf85hg7g 12:06AM, Feb 5, 2025 UTC
Does natural death count as "being removed"? Does assassination?
Avalon 7:55PM, Jan 27, 2025 UTC
Updated as requested. We recommend using a photo and some initial volume for increased visibility unless you're sharing it privately.
Avalon 6:09PM, Jan 24, 2025 UTC
Updated!

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