Will Trump Pardon Himself?
Constitutional scholars say that a US president can pardon himself for past federal crimes.
No US president has ever attempted to pardon himself. Would Trump dare to break all the established rules?
Update 21 July 2017: The Washington Post quotes an anonymous source: “Trump has asked his advisers about his power to pardon aides, family members and even himself ....”
We will rely on the consensus of major media reports from news sources such as the BBC, CNN, Reuters, Associated Press, and the major US-based TV networks.
Early resolution is possible if the major media report a Yes result. Only an actual completed self-pardon by Trump, not a mere announcement of intent, will be considered a Yes resolution.
To minimize the risk of insider bets based on leaks, all Yes bets placed later than two weeks before a Yes resolution will be refunded.
12:55AM, Jan 3, 2017 UTC
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10:55AM, Jan 2, 2018 UTC
10.200xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier
Total Volume: 12.18
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