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Iraq - Yearly Civillian deaths

Iraq - Yearly Civillian deaths
Category:
Politics
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Description

With the recent events in the Middle east and the increasing prevalence of ISIS, causalities spiked in 2014 making it the third worst year of causalities in Iraq since the tallying was started. With at least 17,073 casualties as of December 31st 2014 will there be even more casualties this year or less.

Decision Logic

This Contract is based on the value of "Iraq War - Yearly civilian deaths " for the period ending 31 December 2015. For the purpose of this Contract, the correct value is defined as being the value published by the ICC on or around 1 January 2016. This Contract has 5 Options.
https://www.iraqbodycount.org/database/

CLOSING IN2015-11-13 00:55:00

12:56AM, Jan 3, 2015 UTC

12:55AM, Nov 13, 2015 UTC

12:50AM, Jan 1, 2016 UTC

RESOLVED AT 1:31AM, Jan 1, 2016 UTC

Total Volume: 0.1500

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "14000-17,499"

0.15 was split between 3 bettors.
Under 7000
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
7001-10499
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
10500-13999
Volume:0.0150
0.187675
# of Bets:2
14000-17,499
Volume:0.0600
1.055725
# of Bets:3
17500+
Volume:0.0750
2.218125
# of Bets:4

Discussion

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freedom 4:16AM, Jan 2, 2016 UTC
https://www.iraqbodycount.org/analysis/numbers/2015/
freedom 1:31AM, Jan 1, 2016 UTC
Resolved at 16,115 the confirmed value at time of posting may there be less death and suffering in the New year and more hope.
freedom 4:54AM, May 2, 2015 UTC
It's definitely one of the more macabre bets but it brings a different perspective of American and terrorist involvement in the country, each day breaks down what happened and what was added to the count https://www.iraqbodycount.org/database/recent/ Apr 30th Baghdad: 18 killed by car bombs; 3 bodies. Falluja: 10 by shelling by Iraqi forces. Madain: 3 by car bomb Ramadi: 1 dentist, raped and murdered by ISIS fighter. Amara: 1 by gunfire. Buhriz: 1 by IED Mahmudiya: 1 body.
Napalm 8:37PM, Mar 26, 2015 UTC
Betting on how many innocent people will be murdered. Amazing.

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