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U.S. Presidential Election Winner 2024

U.S. Presidential Election Winner 2024
Category:
Politics
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Description

What will be the result of the 2024 United States presidential election?

Decision Logic

The candidate that wins 270+ Electoral College votes at the 2024 presidential election will be settled as winner. The Electoral College votes will be determined when U.S. Congress certifies the vote.

Any subsequent events will have no effect on settlement.
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If no candidate wins 270+ Electoral College votes, or if congress is unable to certify the Electoral College vote, we wait and the person chosen as President will be settled as winner.
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In all circumstances where neither a Republican nor Democrat become president (including insurrection, failure to hold an election, etc) the "Neither" position wins.
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Settlement ends early upon concession of all viable (has more than 5 Electoral College votes) alternative candidates.

CLOSING IN2024-10-20 07:00:00

6:59AM, Oct 21, 2023 UTC

7:00AM, Oct 20, 2024 UTC

8:00AM, Jan 8, 2025 UTC

WAITING FOR OUTCOME

Total Volume: 0.7839

This bet is waiting for its outcome.

The outcome will be known in: 28 Days.
Republican Nominee
Volume:0.4173
7.4959454
# of Bets:24
Democrat Nominee
Volume:0.3662
8.32358451
# of Bets:14
Neither
Volume:0.0004
0.006527
# of Bets:3

Discussion

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TeamColtra 7:41AM, Jul 23, 2024 UTC
@Trev625 - Luckily I had the foresight to not say "Biden" :)
Trev625 8:39AM, Jul 11, 2024 UTC
Crazy that this shows 60% chance of Biden winning win Polymarket is at 38%. Arbitrage opportunity for somebody. Also funny that changing "Joe Biden" to "Democrat" means that chances of winning go from 15% to 38%
posclegom 12:24AM, Apr 4, 2024 UTC
I made my best in the hope of losing my bet.

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