All Bets

Will Third Parties be Relevant in 2024?

Will Third Parties be Relevant in 2024?
Category:
Politics
Share

Description

A recent Quinnipiac poll indicates RFK Jr. could significantly disrupt the 2024 Presidential Election, showing him with 22% support in a hypothetical three-way race. This bet considers whether a third-party candidate can capitalize on this momentum and secure a substantial portion of the popular vote, challenging two-party dominance.

Decision Logic

This bet will settle based on the highest percentage of total popular vote any third-party (not Democratic or Republican) candidate receives in the 2024 Presidential Election, as reported by major news outlets. If a candidate’s percentage falls on a boundary (e.g., exactly 5.00%), the higher category applies. In case of recounts or disputes, the bet awaits the final, undisputed media consensus.

CLOSING IN2024-11-04 05:00:00

9:50PM, Nov 7, 2023 UTC

5:00AM, Nov 4, 2024 UTC

5:00AM, Nov 10, 2024 UTC

17.505xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0003

No 3rd party above 2%
Volume: 0.0001
0.0044475
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

2% to 5%
Volume: 0.0002
0.008388
# of Bets: 2
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

5% to 15%
Volume: 0.0000
0
# of Bets: 0
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

15% or higher
Volume: 0.0000
0
# of Bets: 0
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Discussion

No one has said anything yet.

Login or Sign Up to comment.

Direct Link (click to highlight):

BBCode (forums):

Anonymous Bet - care to Login or Sign Up?

Placing bet on ""

Send winnings to:


*For use with standalone wallets (bitcoin-qt, electrum).
Shared wallets (exchanges, multifactor) will not work!

Proceed

Send your bet to this address:

1EbocQk64Kh3bXVEebPcsCtcJoB2mRwNhk

* Minimum bet is 0.0001 BTC

Your bet will be automatically entered when picked up - no confirmations needed!

Done