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Coronavirus Reported Cases New

Coronavirus Reported Cases New
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Description

What will be the estimated number of Coronavirus cases effective May 31, 2020?

https://www.statnews.com/2020/02/14/disease-modelers-see-future-of-covid-19/

For tracking 4 cases were reported on January 20, to 67,090 on Feb 15 to 510,108 on March 26 the previous bet and the reset bet as 2 Million was hit on April 15

The original question still applies what will we get to?

Decision Logic

Based on the WHO situation report figures, the global number of confirmed cases. Based on the figures recorded on the graph for May 5, 2020

This bet may close early if the reported cases exceed the maximum before the closing date.

Source: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

CLOSING IN2020-05-06 02:45:00

1:43AM, Apr 15, 2020 UTC

2:45AM, May 6, 2020 UTC

3:15AM, May 6, 2020 UTC

RESOLVED AT 8:26PM, May 6, 2020 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0012

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "3.5 Million to 3.999 Million"

0.0012 was split between 1 bettors.
2.5 Million to 2.999 Million
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
3 Million to 3.49 Million
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0
3.5 Million to 3.999 Million
Volume:0.0001
0.0001815
# of Bets:1
4 Million to 4.499 Miillion
Volume:0.0001
0.0003465
# of Bets:1
4.5 Million + Cases
Volume:0.0010
0.003525
# of Bets:1

Discussion

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freedom 8:28PM, May 6, 2020 UTC
3.663 M on M5 time taken snapshot 3,724,688 5/6/2020, 1:32:28 PM
freedom 8:26AM, May 1, 2020 UTC
Haha @Tjacksun maybe kind of glad that it didn't hit the max again, to be honest .... still 4 days for 250,000 could see reopening in the US spike cases fast to so we will see may still hit that 4 mill
Tjacksun 6:14PM, Apr 30, 2020 UTC
hey @freedom are you gonna lose this one too?
Tjacksun 6:14PM, Apr 30, 2020 UTC
hey @freedom are you gonna lose this one too?
Tjacksun 6:14PM, Apr 30, 2020 UTC
hey @freedom are you gonna lose this one too?
freedom 5:51PM, Apr 27, 2020 UTC
April 27 3,002,303 (Around 450,000 6 days) Slight curve flattening 4/27/2020, 10:31:23 AM
freedom 11:21PM, Apr 21, 2020 UTC
April 21 2,560,504 500,000 5 Days
freedom 1:47AM, Apr 15, 2020 UTC
Well we hit 2 million on April 15 https://www.betmoose.com/bet/coronavirus-reported-cases-5027 A 4x growth in 19 days from March 26 Basically this bet attempts to correct that 21 day duration 500,000 case spare from the current count and assuming a lower than that range.

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