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Will SpaceX's Starship orbit any satellites in 2024?

Will SpaceX's Starship orbit any satellites in 2024?
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By
Porky
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Description

SpaceX has had two spectacular Starship RSUBEDs (rapid sorta unscheduled but expected disassemblies) in 2023. Will a Starship reach orbit and deliver one or more satellites into orbit in 2024?

Decision Logic

If one or more Starship rockets successfully place one or more satellites into orbit in 2024, bet resolves to YES.

If no Starship rockets successfully place any satellites into orbit in 2024, bet resolves to NO.

Bet is contingent on at least two allowed launches in 2024; if the Biden administration (or other events) block SpaceX from launching more than a single Starship in 2024, bet shall be refunded.

Winning bets must be placed at least one calendar day before a successful launch. Bets placed the same day of a successful launch, or after that, shall be refunded.

This bet may resolve early, if SpaceX succeeds.

CLOSING IN2025-01-01 05:55:00

11:46PM, Jan 2, 2024 UTC

5:55AM, Jan 1, 2025 UTC

5:55AM, Jan 2, 2025 UTC

38.335xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0002

YES
Volume: 0.0002
0.008942
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

NO
Volume: 0.0000
0
# of Bets: 0
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

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