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French 2017 presidential elections

French 2017 presidential elections
Category: 
Politics
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Description

This bet is about the winner of the 2017 French presidential election. Who will he or she be?

Decision Logic

The winner will be announced once counting will be over, on Monday May 8th 2017, the day following the second round of voting which takes place on Sunday May 7th 2017. In the unlikely event that President François Hollande isn't able to finish his term and the election takes place at another date, the bets will refunded.

CLOSING IN2017-05-07 14:00:00

1:20PM, Nov 11, 2016 UTC

2:00PM, May 7, 2017 UTC

10:00AM, May 8, 2017 UTC

9.660xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 23.64

François Hollande
Volume: 0.030
0.466275
# of Bets: 5
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Alain Juppé
Volume: 0.020
0.329275
# of Bets: 3
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Nicolas Sarkozy
Volume: 0.020
0.284125
# of Bets: 3
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Marine Le Pen
Volume: 8.031
130.17020823
# of Bets: 51
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Autre
Volume: 15.54
249.37247967
# of Bets: 36
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Discussion

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praine 2:10AM, Feb 18, 2017 UTC
Alright, well I'd like to get some decent action on Marine Le Pen, preferably at Betfair's prices so that the matching party can get the market price for "No". Clearly there are people still interested in betting against her. Anyone care to offer fixed odds? https://www.betmoose.com/bet/french-2017-presidential-elections-fixed-odds-2390
asmodat 11:51PM, Feb 17, 2017 UTC
@praine it is pointless because Marine Le Pen will win like donald trump won (if nothing happens to her in the meantime). And if she loses then bitcoin will go ape**** crazy because terrorists will obliterate France so not being at all is a way better option anyway - and we know it because in uncertain times deflationary commodities are always going UP to the moon.
praine 4:08AM, Feb 13, 2017 UTC
Someone other than the candidates posted here pays 1.3x at the moment. Anyone BUT Marine Le Pen (including the other candidates that would make you lose in the "Autre" bet) pays over 1.35x here folks: https://fairlay.com/market/next-french-president-1/ Fill it up, 2 BTC is up for grabs.
praine 2:17AM, Feb 10, 2017 UTC
For anyone who wants to bet against Marine Le Pen, contact me. I can give much better odds than "Autre" here and can accept a lot of volume. It will be done on Fairlay. My email is: reign_of_praine@hotmail.com
praine 9:51PM, Feb 8, 2017 UTC
@garbagebaby Get it while the gettin's good, as they say. When she is head to head against Macron, I'm sure the odds will decrease quite a bit.
garbagebaby 9:30PM, Feb 8, 2017 UTC
So tempted to put a 2 or 3 btc on Marine just to try to pull off another Trump win.... but I'm less confident here. I need a French girlfriend to tell me what to bet on.
garbagebaby 9:30PM, Feb 8, 2017 UTC
So tempted to put a 2 or 3 btc on Marine just to try to pull off another Trump win.... but I'm less confident here. I need a French girlfriend to tell me what to bet on.
Avalon 12:49AM, Jan 7, 2017 UTC
@etile - we will be following up on that proposition you linked, please keep the discussion relevant to the proposition as it's not related to this.
etile 7:53AM, Jan 6, 2017 UTC
I think you should stop betting on this site, because https://www.betmoose.com/bet/new-bitcoin-all-time-high-before-september-2017-2113

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1EbocQk64Kh3bXVEebPcsCtcJoB2mRwNhk

* Minimum bet is 0.005 BTC

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