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Ghosts or Gong Baths

Ghosts or Gong Baths
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Description

This bet pits those who specifically describe themselves as Spiritual against those who believe in Spiritualism - i.e. ghosts. The bet is that there will be a greater increase in those affiliating with 'Spiritualism' than recording themselves as 'Spiritual'.

Expecting resolution on 29/11/2022. https://census.gov.uk/census-2021-results/phase-one-topic-summaries/ethnic-group-national-identity-language-and-religion

Decision Logic

The Data Gamble’s Metaphysical Census allows you make money from gambling on religious beliefs using the the 2021 population Census for England and Wales (E&W). This bet will be resolved upon publication by the Office for National Statistics of the Topic Summary for Ethic Group, National Identity, Language an Religion data release as detailed in Table 58A. Arbitration will be sought from British Religion in Numbers (BRIN) research programme in the event that it cannot be resolved to all bettors’ satisfaction.

CLOSING IN2022-09-30 23:00:00

6:48PM, Jul 6, 2022 UTC

11:00PM, Sep 30, 2022 UTC

12:00AM, Oct 31, 2022 UTC

RESOLVED AT 10:51AM, Dec 3, 2022 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0002

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "No"

0.0002 was split between 1 bettors.
YES
Volume:0.0001
0.0001
# of Bets:1
NO
Volume:0.0001
0.0001
# of Bets:1

Discussion

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Data-Gamble 1:46PM, Dec 3, 2022 UTC
The dead are finally dying! Spiritualism, the belief in ghosts and 'the other side' is in dceline. Despite growth between 2001 and 2011, the numbers have died back since then. The numbers describing themselves as Spiritual in on the up though, reaching almost 32,000 in 2021. Did anyone know this in advance?
Data-Gamble 11:39AM, Nov 6, 2022 UTC
The first set of Census religion bets are finally expected to be resolved on the 29th November 2022 with the publication of the Topic Summary on Ethnic Group, National Identity, Language and Religion. https://census.gov.uk/census-2021-results/phase-one-topic-summaries/ethnic-group-national-identity-language-and-religion

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