How many electoral votes Donald Trump will get?

Category:

Description

How many Electoral votes Donald Trump will get?
This bet is about Electoral College. A Presidential Candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win the election. The bet is unweighted. (There is no time multiplier)

Decision Logic

If Trump gets 270 or more electoral votes [270+] option wins.
If Trump gets 268 or less electoral votes [268-] option wins.
In the event of the Electoral tie [269/269] option wins.

This bet will be resolved according to the numbers as reported by the Associated Press. If there will be a recount we will wait as long as needed until the final confirmation.

773

CLOSING IN2020-11-03 09:00:00

6:24PM, Oct 25, 2020 UTC

9:00AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC

7:00PM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC

RESOLVED AT 6:35AM, Nov 12, 2020 UTC

Total Volume: 0.2220

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "268 -"

0.22203219 was split between 4 bettors.

270 +

Volume:	0.2052
0.2052
# of Bets:	3

268 -

Volume:	0.0158
0.01583219
# of Bets:	4

269/269

Volume:	0.0010
0.001
# of Bets:	1

Related see more from Politics

Discussion

oracleon 10:37PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC

"This bet will be resolved according to the numbers as reported by the Associated Press." The Associated Press has already called 290 electoral votes for Biden, which means that "268-" must resolve here per the rules. There are only 538 total possible votes.

oracleon 10:33PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC

@d_d The election in 2000 was much closer (just one state). This election is not particularly close at all in the electoral college. In fact, 2016 is likely to be a closer electoral count. But in 2020 Biden will be the clear winner. "This bet will be resolved according to the numbers as reported by the Associated Press." The Associated Press has already called 290 electoral votes for Biden, which means that "268-" must resolve here per the rules. There are only 538 total possible votes.

d_d 10:15PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC

(as close)

d_d 10:14PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC

I would say this is close to the Electoral College tie as it ever could be.

d_d 6:13PM, Oct 26, 2020 UTC

(if there is a recount we will wait)

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