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Supernova in our galaxy during year 2016

Supernova in our galaxy during year 2016
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Description

Only 3 Milky Way naked-eye supernova events have been observed during the last 1000 years, though many have been seen in other galaxies. The most recent directly observed supernova in the Milky Way was Kepler's Star of 1604, but remnants of two more recent supernovae have been found retrospectively. Statistical observations of supernova in other galaxies suggest they should occur on average about three times every century in the Milky Way. Will be there a supernova in our galaxy during 2016?

Decision Logic

YES=a supernova event is observed in our galaxy in year 2016.

12:50AM, Feb 14, 2016 UTC

11:00PM, Dec 29, 2016 UTC

11:00PM, Dec 31, 2016 UTC

CANCELLED

This bet has been cancelled!

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YES
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NO
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