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Trump Disqualified from Holding Federal Office?

Trump Disqualified from Holding Federal Office?


Legal challenges are emerging in various states questioning former President Donald Trump's eligibility to appear on the ballot for the 2024 Presidential Election. These challenges are based on Section 3 of the 14th Amendment, which addresses disqualification due to insurrection or rebellion. Notably, the interpretation of "officer of the United States" is under debate, which could affect Trump's eligibility. This bet aims to predict whether Trump will be disqualified from appearing on the ballot in any state or at the federal level due to these legal challenges.

Decision Logic

The bet will resolve as "Yes" if, prior to the 2024 Presidential Election, any state officially disqualifies Trump from appearing on its presidential ballot, or there is a federal ruling disqualifying him from holding federal office. This includes state supreme court rulings, federal court decisions, or legislative actions that prevent his candidacy in any state.

CLOSING IN2023-12-19 05:00:00

3:43PM, Nov 7, 2023 UTC

5:00AM, Dec 19, 2023 UTC

7:59PM, Jan 10, 2024 UTC

Early Outcome

RESOLVED AT 12:49AM, Jan 11, 2024 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0003

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Yes"

0.0003 was split between 2 bettors.
# of Bets:2
# of Bets:1


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Avalon 8:00PM, Jan 10, 2024 UTC
In the future, you may wish to add a condition for appeals, as what is 'official' is debatable when appealed.
f84jf85hg7g 3:24PM, Jan 6, 2024 UTC
How do I close this early? I reported it and it just says "REPORTED"
Porky 11:25PM, Jan 2, 2024 UTC
I agree, although I think the bans will be struck down. Just made a bet on that:
f84jf85hg7g 3:44AM, Dec 20, 2023 UTC
Well, that happened faster than I expected. ChatGPT agrees that this has been resolved: "Given the terms of the bet as described … the recent ruling by the Colorado Supreme Court would indeed resolve the bet as "Yes." The stay on the decision does not change the fact that an official ruling has been made. A stay is a temporary halt to the proceedings or the enforcement of the ruling, but it doesn't negate the fact that the ruling was made."

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