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Will Blue Origin make it to orbit in 2024?

Will Blue Origin make it to orbit in 2024?
Category:
Entertainment
By
Porky
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Description

Jeff Bezos's ***** has made a few trips up and down to give up-and-down joyrides to tourists, but Blue Origin has yet to launch any rocket into orbit. NASA has booked a launch of its Mars ESCAPADE probe on a New Glenn rocket in the second half of 2024. Will Blue Origin finally get a launch into -- or beyond -- orbit?

Decision Logic

YES wins if Blue Origin successfully orbits a payload or gets ESCAPADE on its way to Mars.

NO wins if Blue Origin fails to launch a payload to orbit or beyond before the calendar flips to 2025.

A payload may include a mass simulator, real satellite, or probe.

Local timezone of launch controls, so 11:59pm California time on December 31 2024, for a launch from California, is still a success even though in UTC it would already be 2025.

CLOSING IN2024-07-01 05:00:00

2:06AM, Jan 5, 2024 UTC

5:00AM, Jul 1, 2024 UTC

5:55AM, Jan 2, 2025 UTC

8.780xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0002

YES
Volume: 0.0000
0
# of Bets: 0
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

NO
Volume: 0.0002
0.004475
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Discussion

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Porky 2:08AM, Jan 5, 2024 UTC
If I'd known the word "*****" was going to be censored, I would have called it something else. :-) Anyway, that refers to the dinky little non-orbital-class "space tourism" rocket that Bezos has been launching for tourist flights for a few years.

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