Will there be another mass shooting in 2018?
Description
24-hour cable news and legacy media outlets have done their best to glorify mass killing as a way to prop up their flagging viewer- and readership. Because of this, and not necessarily because of the actual numbers, mass shootings seem to be on the rise in the U.S. As a test of the "bet-on-anything" concept of BetMoose, I'm putting this up to see how far that concept can go. Also, in order to discourage stacking the bet on the "NO" side, I'm ending the betting period 2 weeks before Christmas day.
Decision Logic
Differing definitions exist for the term "mass shooting," so I will split the difference among a few of the various definitions. The event must involve the SHOOTING, but not necessarily DEATH, of at least 4 people, including the shooter or shooters. It must be in a public setting within the borders of the United States, involve a single event, and all the injuries or deaths must be caused by the perpetrators and not good samaritans, police officers, or other responding authorities. If these criteria are all met, then the bet will resolve as a "YES." If 2018 ends without another reported incident, then it will resolve as "NO."
1:34AM, Nov 29, 2018 UTC
6:55AM, Dec 12, 2018 UTC
7:00AM, Jan 1, 2019 UTC
CANCELLED
This bet has been cancelled!
Reason: Please do not make bets which incentivize death or destruction. That said, the prop met it's 'YES" outcome on Nov 30. prior to any 'No' wagers, thus returning the initial 2 wagers anyway. https://massshootingtracker.org/data
Volume: | 0.0000 |
# of Bets: | 0 |
Volume: | 0.0000 |
# of Bets: | 0 |
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