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Will TikTok get banned?

Will TikTok get banned?
Category:
Politics
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Description

Due to security concerns, the US government passed a bill imposing a ban restricting ByteDance from operating TikTok in the United States. ByteDance is required to either sell TikTok or face a ban. The expected deadline for the ban is January 19th, 2024, with a possibility of a 90-day extension. What will be the outcome of this ban?

Decision Logic

This only applies to the original 270-day deadline.

No, TikTok sold - ByteDance sells or publically announces its intentions to sell its US TikTok operations.

No, TikTok not banned - TikTok while being owned and controlled by ByteDance is still able to operate in the US after the deadline. Examples could be the courts overturning the ban or it being paused due to pending court decisions.

Yes, TikTok banned - The ban goes into effect and TikTok is removed from app stores and/or blocked by ISPs. TikTok may also be voluntarily shut down by ByteDance.

22
CLOSING IN2024-06-10 05:00:00

11:19PM, Apr 26, 2024 UTC

5:00AM, Jun 10, 2024 UTC

6:00AM, Jan 21, 2025 UTC

4.960xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0001

No, TikTok sold
Volume: 0.0000
0
# of Bets: 0
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

No, TikTok not banned
Volume: 0.0001
0.000573
# of Bets: 1
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Yes, TikTok banned
Volume: 0.0000
0
# of Bets: 0
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

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