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Will Trump Concede The Election Before Dec. 31, 2020?

Will Trump Concede The Election Before Dec. 31, 2020?


It certainly appears that Joe Biden will receive the 270 votes needed to win the election. Of course, questions remain, lawsuits will probably be filed and recounts will be requested. This bet simply asks, will Trump concede the election during the calendar year of 2020? Of course, if he ends up winning, he will not concede. And if he loses, he may never concede. But it is possible that he will. If he does, a "yes" bet will win. If he does not, a "No" will win.

Decision Logic

For this bet to be decided early or as a "yes" Trump needs to appear on video saying he concedes the election or congratulating Biden on a win. Concession is defined as "the act of a losing candidate publicly yielding to a winning candidate after an election when the result of the vote has become clear." He could say something like, "It appears I've lost and will not be your next president." Or he could say, "Biden will be your next president." If he never says such thing by Dec. 31, 2020 at midnight PT. Bet resolves 'No'.

CLOSING IN2021-01-01 07:55:00

10:43PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC

7:55AM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC

8:00PM, Jan 1, 2021 UTC

5.170xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.1961

Volume: 0.0643
# of Bets: 14

*assumes current weight and volumes

Volume: 0.1318
# of Bets: 11

*assumes current weight and volumes


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vegai 7:10AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC
I hope Trump (or anyone handling his money) isn't arranging these markets ;)
freedom 6:08AM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC
Good bet condition ha-ha or that tweet would have counted
d_d 7:54AM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
AHamilton 8:37AM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC
Good market! This one is a coin flip... I would bet on it -- but I'd need the election ends markets to be resolved first...

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