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Will Ukraine finally retake Crimea ?

Will Ukraine finally retake Crimea ?
Category:
Politics
By
d_d
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Description

Mad Vlad has barely survived attempted Russian mutiny. Will the Fearless Ukrainian Leader seize this once in a lifetime opportunity to reoccupy Crimea?

Decision Logic

if Ukrainian military forces establish full control over the Crimean Peninsula any time before the Outcome date, this bet will be resolved as YES, otherwise it will be resolved as NO. Pls, note that for the purpose of this bet it is irrelevant how exactly Crimea will be recaptured by Ukraine. It might be a military counter-offensive or some sort of a diplomatic settlement. This bet can be resolved early. Mainstream media consensus (Reuters, BBC,BLOOMBERG) will be used to make a judgement.

1:59PM, Jun 26, 2023 UTC

10:00PM, Sep 30, 2023 UTC

5:00PM, Oct 30, 2023 UTC

CANCELLED

This bet has been cancelled!

Reason: Only one option had bets placed on it. Next time, try sharing it with others!

YES
Volume:0.0000
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# of Bets:0
NO
Volume:0.0000
0
# of Bets:0

Discussion

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d_d 5:49PM, Sep 8, 2023 UTC
Perhaps you will be even brave enough to put some BTC on the cutting off the land bridge by the year end...
Porky 1:16AM, Sep 7, 2023 UTC
Too soon. They have to cut the supply routes (the Kerch Strait Bridge and the "land bridge"), which should happen by the end of the year. After that, Crimea can't support itself -- not enough water to grow the food needed to keep troops there, and ferries can't carry enough.

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