Biden Will Win 2020 Election

Category:

Description

The Republican Party is in an increasingly untenable position — how much longer can it really refuse to recognize Joe Biden as the president-elect?

Nearly two weeks after the election, there are signs that Republicans are starting to accept reality.
President Donald Trump’s legal campaign to reverse his election loss is crumbling all around him and there’s no mathematical possibility that he can reverse margins of 10,000 or more votes in the five states he won in 2016 but lost to Biden. Meanwhile, the Biden transition is stuck in molasses, and Trump is barely addressing the coronavirus spikes across the country, let alone cooperating with the incoming administration on vaccine distribution efforts.

Decision Logic

Yes- Biden Wins
No- Trump Wins
The bet will resolve after the winner is clear beyond any reasonable doubt.

5273

CLOSING IN2021-01-04 22:00:00

1:38AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC

10:00PM, Jan 4, 2021 UTC

6:00PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC

RESOLVED AT 6:15PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC

Total Volume: 6.257

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Yes"

6.25738527 was split between 57 bettors.

YES

Volume:	5.636
25.9434224
# of Bets:	57

Volume:	0.6216
2.95246074
# of Bets:	54

Related see more from Politics

Discussion

f84jf85hg7g 4:08AM, Nov 30, 2020 UTC

@d_d Biden won the election and the popular vote. I don't know what "the count" means.

d_d 12:34PM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC

@f84jf85hg7g5 Trump won the election and Biden won the count.

praine 4:29AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC

@f84jf85hg7g Biden won the election? Says who?

f84jf85hg7g 4:14AM, Nov 27, 2020 UTC

You started this bet AFTER he won the election and people are betting "No"? lol.

vegai 7:51AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC

This market though carries with it the possibility that something happens to Biden in the following 2 months, which makes it a tad more interesting.

vegai 7:50AM, Nov 23, 2020 UTC

This starts to be a bit cruel. But oh well.

CrazyBrazy 11:07PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC

The winner will be probably announced by the SC.

jeb_bush 5:56PM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC

@CrazyBrazy would you mind answering my specific question about Jan 6th? Will you accept whatever votes are cast at that time as final result?

CrazyBrazy 8:26AM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC

A win is a win even if it is disputed in court

jeb_bush 7:44AM, Nov 22, 2020 UTC

So you're a self identified Trump supporter and better here @CrazyBrazy - given some of the wild claims coming out of the pro-Trump camp regarding legitimacy, what assurance do we have on your idea of what "the winner is clear beyond any reasonable doubt." means? Will you for example commit to resolve the bet for Biden if he receives > 270 electoral college votes in the joint session on Jan 6th? Even if in your mind those votes were somehow fraudulently generated? If so I'll bite.

praine 11:58AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC

Can't really do that now that you got all this volume (makes it slightly more favorable for 'No'). However, you can say that it will be washed (no one wins) if someone other than Biden or Trump 'wins'. Odds of it are so infinitesimally low that it doesn't really matter too much, though.

CrazyBrazy 11:49AM, Nov 20, 2020 UTC

Important fix*** Yes - Biden Will WIN No - Biden will not win, doesn’t matter who takes charge of the office.

praine 7:47AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC

Hey, I bet yes and I'm not a democrat. :( I'm just paying to see the greatest political '**** you' of all time! And as it will happen to the left it will be very entertaining to me.

CrazyBrazy 7:27AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC

Yeah I’m ready to take some Democrats money :)

praine 3:32AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC

Pretty scathing bet description against Trump, even though you bet on him. :P Oh well, I'll give you action.

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