Trump's @potus Tweets Jan 24 - Jan 31

Category:

Description

How many tweets will Donald Trump post from the @potus account between noon Jan 24 and noon Jan 31? Bets locked in at midnight on the 29th for more risk and fun.

Be advised this is for the @potus account only! I will be opening another market for @realDonaldTrump shortly.

Decision Logic

At 12:00:00 p.m. (ET) on January 31, 2017, the number of total tweets posted by the Twitter account @potus, shall exceed 17 by the number or range identified in the bet, as determined by browsing to the webpage https://twitter.com/potus and mousing over the number labeled "TWEETS" in the navigation bar.

1505

CLOSING IN2017-01-30 04:55:00

6:11AM, Jan 25, 2017 UTC

4:55AM, Jan 30, 2017 UTC

5:00PM, Jan 31, 2017 UTC

RESOLVED AT 8:22PM, Jan 31, 2017 UTC

Total Volume: 4.881

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "35 or more"

4.88128646 was split between 4 bettors.

19 or fewer

Volume:	0.0050
0.007975
# of Bets:	1

20-24

Volume:	0.0050
0.007975
# of Bets:	1

25-29

Volume:	0.0050
0.007975
# of Bets:	1

30-34

Volume:	0.0113
0.01727896
# of Bets:	2

35 or more

Volume:	4.855
5.991725
# of Bets:	4

Related see more from Politics

Discussion

garbagebaby 4:20AM, Feb 5, 2017 UTC

You may try hitting them up on /r/betmoose on Reddit. They seem to have particularly quick customer support there.

garbagebaby 4:20AM, Feb 5, 2017 UTC

You may try hitting them up on /r/betmoose on Reddit. They seem to have particularly quick customer support there.

garbagebaby 4:19AM, Feb 5, 2017 UTC

Hello! I am not associated with betmoose but I have won on here before (very big on election night, in fact!). All I can tell you is that I had a similar problem at one point, and they resolved it very quickly considering the amount of coin that was involved. They also mentioned it takes them less time to pay out when you have an account vs betting anonymously.

larsthechamp 7:32PM, Feb 2, 2017 UTC

hey garbagebaby , do you know how long it takes betmoose to pay out bets to the winning party? i know betmoose takes a 3% fee but its been 2 days & they have not paid. i sent numerous emails (email attached to this platform) & messages (logged into this site) to them with no response. at this point im now posting on bitcointalk.org and posting this current message here. please help!

sanko 5:00PM, Jan 31, 2017 UTC

garbagebaby 5:59PM, Jan 30, 2017 UTC

New market here, with better brackets this time: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/donald-trump-potus-tweets-jan-30-feb-6-2655

garbagebaby 7:56AM, Jan 27, 2017 UTC

Please do bear in mind it is possible for this number to go *down* as well as up! This might be the case if @POTUS were to delete tweets, for example, or if the account were somehow deleted. Thus my tweet markets will never resolve early, even if we enter the final bracket; all that matters is the final count at the time of market close.

garbagebaby 7:51AM, Jan 27, 2017 UTC

larsthechamp: As long as retweets are counted by Twitter in the mouseover value at closing time, they will count for this market. This market is 100% determined by that number minus 17. At the time of this post, it is at 36, so our count for this market is 36-17=19.

larsthechamp 9:19PM, Jan 26, 2017 UTC

Perhaps you can clarify do retweets from the @POTUS account count? (This is how similar odds markets have it established.) Your count earlier seems to match this.

garbagebaby 8:38AM, Jan 26, 2017 UTC

Yes indeed, praine, this is for @POTUS only! If you are looking for the @realDonaldTrump market, have no fear, I made one of those too: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/donald-trump-realdonaldtrump-tweets-jan-25-jan-31-2641 Also: while the whale has dumped a lot of coin on the largest bracket, there are no guarantees. I made the brackets smaller here because he seemed to be using @POTUS less, and while he's broken with that trend over the last couple days, he's still only at 28-17=11 tweets!

praine 8:02AM, Jan 26, 2017 UTC

Oh, wait sorry. This is @POTUS! Ignore what I just said. :P

praine 8:00AM, Jan 26, 2017 UTC

Decision logic is messed up here: "the number of total tweets posted by the Twitter account @POTUS, shall exceed 17", thus the whale betting 1.7 BTC on a known outcome.

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