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Will Donald Trump attend the 2021 inauguration?

Will Donald Trump attend the 2021 inauguration?
Category:
Politics
By
fin
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Description

Maybe Tradition will go on or maybe it wont.

The Trump administration has not been a traditional Presidency.
Covid is still raging & social distancing is still recommended.
Most big events have been scaled down, gone virtual or rescheduled/cancelled.
There has been another Covid outbreak in the White House .

AND Trump is calling for recounts, claiming he won a second term.
Could these factors play in how the 2021 Biden/Harris Inauguration happens?

For the 2017 inauguration President Obama attended.
Former Presidents George W. Bush, Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton &
even Hillary Clinton, Trump's opponent in the 2016 Presidential race attended.

What happens January 2021?

Decision Logic

Trump attends
Donald Trump attends inauguration day 2021.

Trump & Pence ABSENT
Pence & Trump are BOTH ABSENT, for any reason.

Pence attends, no Trump
Vice President Mike Pence attends AND Trump is ABSENT for whatever reason.

CLOSING IN2021-01-14 04:00:00

6:48PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC

4:00AM, Jan 14, 2021 UTC

4:00PM, Jan 20, 2021 UTC

6.715xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.0775

Trump attends
Volume: 0.0400
0.32888
# of Bets: 5
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Trump & Pence ABSENT
Volume: 0.0131
0.10454845
# of Bets: 9
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Pence attends, no Trump
Volume: 0.0245
0.1832463
# of Bets: 11
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Discussion

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fin 3:17PM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC
@jeb_bush Thanks for answering!
grolsch 6:49PM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC
@jeb_bush Appreciate the explanation.
jeb_bush 6:30PM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC
@grolsch it's an open market - the odds will fluctuate right up to close based on the weight of voting in each category. All money bet on the loosing outcomes is divided among the people who bet on the winning outcome: adjusted somewhat by the time multiplier (so earlier bets on the "right" outcome win a greater propotion)
grolsch 3:00AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC
@fin How do the odds even work here? Do we need more users to chip in to get odds on the outcome?

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