Will Donald Trump attend the 2021 inauguration?

Category:

Description

Maybe Tradition will go on or maybe it wont.
- Covid is still raging & social distancing is still recommended.
- Most big events have been scaled down, gone virtual or rescheduled/cancelled.

Trump is calling for recounts, claiming he won a second term.
Could these factors play in how the 2021 Biden/Harris Inauguration happens?
Trump was asked if he’d attend Biden’s inauguration. “I don’t want to say that yet. I mean, I know the answer. I’ll be honest, I know the answer,” he said.

What happens January 2021?

Decision Logic

Trump attends
Donald Trump attends inauguration day 2021.

Trump & Pence ABSENT
Pence & Trump are BOTH ABSENT, for any reason.

Pence attends, no Trump
Vice President Mike Pence attends AND Trump is ABSENT for whatever reason.

2446

CLOSING IN2021-01-14 04:00:00

6:48PM, Nov 9, 2020 UTC

4:00AM, Jan 14, 2021 UTC

4:00PM, Jan 20, 2021 UTC

RESOLVED AT 3:13AM, Jan 21, 2021 UTC

Total Volume: 0.4792

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Pence attends, no Trump"

0.47915349 was split between 34 bettors.

Trump attends

Volume:	0.0740
0.53518
# of Bets:	8

Trump & Pence ABSENT

Volume:	0.0834
0.50293845
# of Bets:	20

Pence attends, no Trump

Volume:	0.3218
0.87180008
# of Bets:	34

Related see more from Politics

Discussion

d_d 5:02AM, Jan 21, 2021 UTC

@Avalon Trump was indeed not there and no other events occurred in the interim. https://wpcdn.us-east-1.vip.tn-cloud.net/www.abc6.com/content/uploads/2021/01/Trump-Tweet.jpg

KennethJones 2:34AM, Jan 21, 2021 UTC

I kept waiting for Trump to pull of his Joe Biden mask during the inauguration, lol

cryptoman 3:56PM, Jan 20, 2021 UTC

Pence has arrived 25 minutes ago. Good to see him there ;-)

freedom 9:15PM, Jan 10, 2021 UTC

Well obvious choice seems obvious so goes with it but if the unexpected happens have a nice payday XD

grolsch 4:18AM, Jan 10, 2021 UTC

Leeches gonna leach.

fin 12:57AM, Jan 10, 2021 UTC

I have notified mods of latest news.

fin 10:22PM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC

Thanks for the update!

Avalon 7:47PM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC

Update: We will allow this prop to stay open in the case that the actual outcome is different and/or if Trump ends up being compelled to be there or issues a different statement. If Trump is indeed not there and no other events occur in the interim, we will push this resolution back to yesterday in the interest of fairness to the earlier bettors.

Avalon 7:11PM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC

We won't close this yet as Trump's statement and actions can still change. In general, for quick-changing outcomes such as this, we recommend using a Fixed Odds bet type in the future.

MooseMe 4:46PM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC

This is a shining example of a bet that should have been setup for the betting to end before developing realities and news made the resolution obvious. ...... Folks, if you want fair and fun bets, set the 'Betting Ends' date early enough to avoid this situation.

MooseMe 4:38PM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC

@TeamHans During and after extensive scrutiny and numerous frivolous thrown-out lawsuits, hundreds of elections workers across our nation -- Democrats and Republicans alike – assured us that the elections were fair. As related bets came near to resolving, Trump supporters, forever living in their fantasy world of absurd conspiracies set against them, hurled untruths at the BetMoose staff putting them in a difficult position. **** My hat’s off to BetMoose for their steadfast fairness.

Bertuzzi44 9:34AM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC

All bets made after Trump announced that he would not attend should not be allowed. This bet was an interesting even three-way situation. Flipped to a near certainty when Trump made his announcement.

PoorSnowflake 5:12PM, Jan 8, 2021 UTC

To all, please note that @TeamHans is a delusional retrumplican who is just as sore a lower as trump... I would encourage him to stfu but we know what trumpanzees are like and that is unlikely to happen. Instead, just continue to bet and ignore this ******

jblndsl 8:05PM, Dec 1, 2020 UTC

If someone prefers fixed odds (as I do), help yourself here: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-donald-trump-attend-joe-biden-s-inauguration-5277

fin 3:17PM, Nov 13, 2020 UTC

@jeb_bush Thanks for answering!

grolsch 6:49PM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC

@jeb_bush Appreciate the explanation.

jeb_bush 6:30PM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC

@grolsch it's an open market - the odds will fluctuate right up to close based on the weight of voting in each category. All money bet on the loosing outcomes is divided among the people who bet on the winning outcome: adjusted somewhat by the time multiplier (so earlier bets on the "right" outcome win a greater propotion)

grolsch 3:00AM, Nov 11, 2020 UTC

@fin How do the odds even work here? Do we need more users to chip in to get odds on the outcome?

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