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Who Will Win the 2024 Presidential Election?
Who Will Win the 2024 Presidential Election?
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Description
This is a market on who will win the 2024 US Presidential election.
Decision Logic
This market will resolve based on the results the 2024 according to official sources. If the election is contested, it will resolve when either (1) the results are confirmed by Congress (typically on January 6th), and if that does not happen then (2) Based on who actually gets sworn in and takes office.
CLOSING IN2024-11-14 15:55:00
11:00PM, Nov 14, 2023 UTC
3:55PM, Nov 14, 2024 UTC
5:55PM, Nov 14, 2024 UTC
Placed Bets
| Time | User | Option | Bet Amount | Odds | Expected Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:14AM, Sep 11, 2024 UTC |  Anonymous |
Donald J. Trump | 0.007 | 1.81x | 0.01228990 |
| 1:14AM, Sep 11, 2024 UTC | Anonymous |
Donald J. Trump | 0.01 | 1.82x | 0.01765400 |
| 4:30PM, Sep 10, 2024 UTC | Anonymous |
Donald J. Trump | 0.00306633 | 1.82x | 0.00541330 |
| 10:43PM, Aug 29, 2024 UTC | 
basserben1 |
Donald J. Trump | 0.0016722 | 2.00x | 0.00324407 |
| 11:58AM, Aug 15, 2024 UTC | Anonymous |
Other (including RFK, Jr.) | 0.04 | 1.64x | 0.06363200 |
| 11:50AM, Aug 15, 2024 UTC | Anonymous |
Other (including RFK, Jr.) | 0.1 | 1.64x | 0.15908000 |
| 12:03AM, Aug 15, 2024 UTC | Anonymous |
Other (including RFK, Jr.) | 0.0005 | 1.63x | 0.00079055 |
| 2:51AM, Aug 6, 2024 UTC | Anonymous |
Other (including RFK, Jr.) | 0.00018 | 1.60x | 0.00027936 |
| 9:31PM, Jul 21, 2024 UTC | 
HChinaskiPUA |
Other (including RFK, Jr.) | 0.008 | 2.17x | 0.01683920 |
| 7:20PM, Jul 21, 2024 UTC | Anonymous |
Other (including RFK, Jr.) | 0.001 | 2.16x | 0.00209520 |
| 7:09PM, Jul 19, 2024 UTC | 
Golhoneybadger |
Joseph R. Biden | 0.00155338 | 5.00x | 0.00753389 |
| 10:04PM, Jul 18, 2024 UTC | Anonymous |
Other (including RFK, Jr.) | 0.00524 | 2.10x | 0.01067388 |
| 6:07PM, Jun 18, 2024 UTC |
ContentConifer |
Joseph R. Biden | 0.0085 | 1.90x | 0.01566550 |
| 1:56PM, Jun 12, 2024 UTC | Anonymous |
Donald J. Trump | 0.0111 | 1.90x | 0.02045730 |
| 9:37PM, Jun 8, 2024 UTC |
ContentConifer |
Joseph R. Biden | 0.00257882 | 1.90x | 0.00475277 |
| 11:16PM, Jun 3, 2024 UTC |
Golhoneybadger |
Joseph R. Biden | 0.0003 | 1.85x | 0.00053835 |
| 8:06PM, Jun 3, 2024 UTC |
ContentConifer |
Joseph R. Biden | 0.00129888 | 1.85x | 0.00233084 |
| 10:07AM, Jun 1, 2024 UTC | Anonymous |
Joseph R. Biden | 0.00011025 | 1.85x | 0.00019784 |
| 10:06AM, Jun 1, 2024 UTC | Anonymous |
Joseph R. Biden | 0.005 | 1.85x | 0.00897250 |
| 10:05AM, Jun 1, 2024 UTC | Anonymous |
Joseph R. Biden | 0.005 | 1.85x | 0.00897250 |
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Discussion
Avalon
6:57PM, Sep 1, 2024 UTC
@lhj use the contact form at the bottom or email support[at]betmoose.com
lhj
1:13AM, Aug 6, 2024 UTC
Can someone help me out? Sorry Im new here. My bets on the Biden Trump got cancelled and it says refunded but I havent gotten the refund yet. Do you get it when the bet was supposed to resolve or when its cancelled?
CapE
2:26AM, Aug 4, 2024 UTC
Do you think Trump can win the State of Pennsylvania? Consisdered a swing state, Pennsylvania might play a crucial role this election!
https://www.betmoose.com/bet/24-presidential-election-winner-pennsylvania-6029
praine
5:14AM, Jul 25, 2024 UTC
If he doesn't become president then the bet loses. This bet makes no provisions to the manner in which one fails to become president. However, this bet is going the distance, and those that laid Biden cannot cash out prematurely. That means you still hold whatever equity Biden provides until the very end, even if the odds of him becoming president at this point are less than winning a major lottery.
Golhoneybadger
12:08AM, Jul 25, 2024 UTC
What about those who went ridin with biden do they lose the bet despite him dropping out?
Trev625
7:19AM, Jul 23, 2024 UTC
I actually prefer this style of bet but I went ahead and dropped a bunch on Kamala across all the different props
Avalon
2:30AM, Jul 23, 2024 UTC
We're keeping this one open as 2 of the 3 options are still valid. In addition, please note this bet will settle on Jan 6th, 2025 or later as per the logic.
praine
12:35AM, Jul 22, 2024 UTC
But if you want to be against Trump do it on this fresh bet where there is 0.56 BTC put on Trump that you can get a share of: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/usa-presidential-election-winner-2024-6017 And even more Trumpsters will bet after you increasing your odds further!
praine
10:13PM, Jul 21, 2024 UTC
I mean, it's there for the taking.
Trev625
9:16PM, Jul 21, 2024 UTC
How about I drop 1.25BTC of 1.4 odds for Trump?
leen93
12:59AM, Jul 20, 2024 UTC
JuliasCeasar. I can get you 1 btc for not biden, you 0.2 for biden? let me know
praine
2:08AM, Jul 19, 2024 UTC
Laid. ;)
JuliasCeasar
11:47PM, Jul 16, 2024 UTC
Whoah, volume! If someone makes an offer for Biden at 5, I'll redeposit and take it. I would hit other at 13'ish.
praine
8:14PM, Jul 12, 2024 UTC
Not really, since you were laying at great odds for yourself. However, I do see you also removed the 'Other' lay which is something I was keeping an eye on. That was looking more and more attractive as the days went on.
Trev625
8:22AM, Jul 11, 2024 UTC
Whew I lost a bunch of confidence in Biden and logged in here expecting to see all my offers taken since polymarket is showing $0.15 (I did technically a $0.28 down to $0.18 [1.4 odds down to 1.22]) but luckily nobody took them. That would've been almost 2 BTC down the drain :|
JuliasCeasar
1:59PM, Feb 14, 2024 UTC
If someone puts up an ask for Biden at .32 (offers Biden at 3), I'll take it.
JuliasCeasar
2:24PM, Feb 9, 2024 UTC
@Trev625, who are you looking to take action on? Biden?
Trev625
10:48AM, Feb 9, 2024 UTC
I'm gonna put some liquidity since there isn't much but it's gonna be weighted toward me for now since the election is so far off. Polymarket has Biden at 32% right now so that's where I'll start and go down.
JuliasCeasar
10:29PM, Jan 7, 2024 UTC
I would take action on biden at 3, if someone offers.
Anonymous Bet - care to Login or Sign Up? 
Placing bet on ""
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1EbocQk64Kh3bXVEebPcsCtcJoB2mRwNhk
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