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Will Melania Dump Trump?

Will Melania Dump Trump?
Category:
Politics
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Description

Does Melania even love Trump? There are plenty of photos of her rejecting his hand holding, he almost certainly had affairs, and now the rumors are her aids are just counting down the days until Trump leaves the White House so she can file for divorce.

Do you think they will file for divorce within 6 months of the January inauguration? (Think Trump will be there? I have a bet for that https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-donald-trump-be-present-for-an-inauguration-01-20-5217)

Decision Logic

---- YES WINS IF ----

If either party (Donald Trump or Melania) Trump files for divorce by July 20th, YES wins.

---- NO WINS IF ----

No wins in all cases where YES doesn't.

---- NOTE ----
I will close the bet and resolve if the divorce is announced early (if it happens).

CLOSING IN2021-07-13 07:00:00

4:40AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC

7:00AM, Jul 13, 2021 UTC

6:55AM, Jul 21, 2021 UTC

3.965xCurrent Time-Weight Multiplier

Total Volume: 0.1310

YES
Volume: 0.0152
0.353795
# of Bets: 9
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

NO
Volume: 0.1158
2.10040166
# of Bets: 22
Payout
ROI
0.00
0%

*assumes current weight and volumes

Discussion

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d_d 12:04PM, Feb 18, 2021 UTC
https://www.miamiherald.com/miami-com/miami-com-news/article225792860.html I didn't know that. it looks like a family tradition
f84jf85hg7g 4:29PM, Jan 21, 2021 UTC
They had separate bedrooms in the White House...
TeamColtra 3:32AM, Dec 21, 2020 UTC
Big payout to yes if it happens! Unlikely, sure! But big payout!
Them_mooses 6:28PM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC
@TeamColtra Thanks for reaching out. I can see how the logic applies. My position is that, the same as the reality that everyone loses in a war, everyone loses whenever a derogatory name is used.
TeamColtra 5:17AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC
@betterment With that said, obviously YES takes that minor risk
TeamColtra 5:17AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC
Yes the divorce filing would be public in all US states that I know of. They can seal the actual records (and I'm sure they have good enough lawyers to find a reason to do that, though it's up to the judge) but the basic case would still be discovered. That's not to mention that no one around DJT can keep their mouth shut and TMZ or whoever will pay the court clerk $1M to get a copy of the filings... I think it's a good bet that if a divorce was filed we would know.
betterment 5:10AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC
Are both the divorce and the filing for divorce _always_ a public record?
TeamColtra 4:13AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC
@betterment that's a valid question but it's beyond the scope of our ability to bet. If it isn't publicized by the time I have to close the bet then as of closing the bet there is no way of us knowing. That said divorce is a public record... the idea that the media would not catch wind of it would be incredibly surprising.
betterment 4:09AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC
What if she files for divorce before July 20th but media only report on it after the deadline?
TeamColtra 4:07AM, Nov 28, 2020 UTC
@Them_mooses of course, lol I think if you look through my comment history you will see my allegiance. However, having made so much money this election from angry people on the right, I figured I would include a tag to help entice them to give me money.
Ubuntanda 8:52AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC
@TeamColtra You've been given the opportunity to control the outcome of a bet that you can bet on. If you're interested, go to the bet, 'Will @TeamColtra remove the derogatory term, "libtard" from the team's bet?'
Them_mooses 12:16AM, Nov 26, 2020 UTC
@TeamColtra Since you've put a derogatory name for liberals in the key words of this bet, then does that mean that it's okay for myself to use derogatory names for right-wingers?
CrazyBrazy 7:39AM, Nov 19, 2020 UTC
Lol

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