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Will Trump Be Banned off Twitter
Will Trump Be Banned off Twitter
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Description
Will Trump be banned by Twitter within 30 days of Biden's presidency
Answer: Pfft please BFL Two Weeks™
Decision Logic
This will not include a suspension or censoring
Twitter will need to ban the main the real Donald trump account from using Twitter
CLOSING IN2021-01-08 22:00:00
2:17AM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC
10:00PM, Jan 8, 2021 UTC
7:20PM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
Early Outcome
RESOLVED AT 1:37AM, Jan 10, 2021 UTC
Total Volume: 0.0659
This bet has been resolved!
The outcome was "Yes"
0.0659292 was split between 5 bettors.
YES
| Volume: | 0.0138 |
| # of Bets: | 5 |
NO
| Volume: | 0.0522 |
| # of Bets: | 9 |
Discussion
freedom
1:36AM, Jan 10, 2021 UTC
Roger thanks @Avalon appreciated
Avalon
7:22PM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
The 30 day condition was not in the logic so it is not valid for this resolution. The ban happened around 5-6pm on Jan 8 EST, as such, we have resolved at that time. Congratulations to @p60091 for calling it early.
p60091
6:26PM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
@praine well they frame it in the context of recent events as well. I do disagree with twitter's consistency on enforcing their policy though. he's violated the TOS countless times before, he just had a pass due to his presidential status.
praine
7:23AM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
Yeah @d_d, those few innocuous sentences by Trump merited a full blown multi-paragraph analysis in order that people can also follow the broken logic involved in twisting the meaning of it. Banning off of interpretations with an essay written buy some liberal arts professor, haha.
freedom
2:13AM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
@p60091 that's true a ban is a ban is a ban after all your right it settles as Yes I just got annoyed because it settled earlier than expected.
And d_d Trump had roughly 89 million followers. ^^ lol how dare you undercount XD
p60091
2:06AM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
@freedom I just don't want the reasoning to be that it's specifically fair to me. But please consider that it's a permaban, and would still hold true within the first 30 days.
d_d
2:03AM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
“The 75,000,000 great American Patriots who voted for me, AMERICA FIRST, and MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN, will have a GIANT VOICE long into the future. They will not be disrespected or treated unfairly in any way, shape or form!!!”
Shortly thereafter, the President tweeted:
“To all of those who have asked, I will not be going to the Inauguration on January 20th.”
So this is 'glorification of violence' according to Twitter, go figure!
freedom
2:01AM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
@p60091
Got pwned by Twitter lol that said descriptions do not affect decision logic, that said I did put that placeholder there since I didn't think Twitter would nuke Trump while he was president when they could wait a week or two haha
p60091
1:55AM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
@freedom lol, I guess let betmoose decide then
freedom
1:40AM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
The deadline is kind of a pain though since it's still open u.u anyways by decision logic and to be fair to p60091 should resolve as yes.
freedom
1:36AM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
Either way anything from when twitter posted it looks like about 2 hours ago on is an invalid bet
freedom
1:33AM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
Then again. well let betmoose decide on it, technically it can be resolved early or refund since the question was will he be perma banned 1st still I didn't see it coming thought they would at least hold off a bit longer lol.
freedom
1:28AM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
@praine I did say first 30 biden days so safe haha
freedom
1:27AM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
Well facepalm submitting a refund should have closed it 2 days ago ...
p60091
1:26AM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
Big tech does what's best for big tech. he was a huge liability.
praine
12:40AM, Jan 9, 2021 UTC
Well, guess I shouldn't have my money on Big Tech NOT engaging in censorship. That was dumb!
p60091
11:53PM, Jan 8, 2021 UTC
It's now a permanent suspension.
https://blog.twitter.com/en_us/topics/company/2020/suspension.html
freedom
12:16AM, Jan 8, 2021 UTC
That said a timeout is not a ban
freedom
12:11AM, Jan 8, 2021 UTC
@xlfpx Correct this is a suspension situation if Twitter makes it a permanent suspension as per this tweet it is a Ban as Donald Trump will not be able to utilize his account.
IF it becomes a permanent ban and is then reversed then the ban still counts
https://twitter.com/twittersafety/status/1346970430062485505
Future violations of the Twitter Rules, including our Civic Integrity or Violent Threats policies, will result in permanent suspension of the
@realDonaldTrump
account.
xlfpx
10:33AM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC
So the current situation should count as "suspension", not "ban", right?
freedom
5:46AM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC
Pretty much an if Trump has to appeal situation
https://help.twitter.com/en/rules-and-policies/enforcement-options
That should explain all the bases in detail :)
freedom
5:43AM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC
(Also Ban means it's deleted at any time in that month)
Basically, it only needs to happen once and settles bet
If twitter backpedals and decides hey we banned him and then puts it back online within that month
The bet will still resolve as a yes since Twitter did ban him full stop.
If twitter suspends the account and gives trump a strike or a week off but the account is otherwise still functional on the betting deadline
Then the bet is resolved as a No
praine
5:40AM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC
Great, thanks for responding.
freedom
5:38AM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC
(Since bets are already in)
The condition is as is
No will resolve as No if trump can still use his @realDonaldTrump account on that date
freedom
5:36AM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC
Yes Praine, I was going to add an exception condition in the bet logic that said if Trump announces a 2024 run then this bet resolves as null. Since twitter seems to have some tolerances for presidential candidates on the off chance they use that to keep his account around. That said since you bet already it is regardless of who is president on Jan 20, if Trumps twitter still exists on Feb 20 without being banned then it will resolve as No
praine
5:12AM, Nov 16, 2020 UTC
You said 'within 30 days of Biden's presidency', but I am assuming that it still resolves to 'No' whether Biden is actually president or not. As long as @realDonaldTrump's Twitter still exists at the resolution time you have put.
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