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Will Trump be Impeached (again) by Jan 20th

Will Trump be Impeached (again) by Jan 20th
Category:
Politics
By
dhorks
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Description

In light of the recent events at the US capitol, there have been calls for Trump to be impeached or for the cabinet to remove him from office via the 25th Amendment. What will happen?

Early resolution only possible in the two cases of removal from office.

Decision Logic

Possible options are as follows,

Impeached, but not removed: The US House of Representatives passes new articles to impeachment for Trump but the US Senate does not convict and remove him from office by January 20th by 00:00 EST. This includes both the scenario of the Senate acquitting Trump and the Senate not reaching a resolution in time.

Impeached, and removed: The US House of Representatives passes new articles to impeachment for Trump and the US Senate convicts and remove him from office by January 20th by 00:00 EST.

Removed via 25th amendment: The VP and cabinet successfullly remove Trump from office by January 20th by 00:00 EST.

No: Any other scenario.

CLOSING IN2021-01-20 05:00:00

6:36PM, Jan 7, 2021 UTC

5:00AM, Jan 20, 2021 UTC

5:00AM, Jan 21, 2021 UTC

RESOLVED AT 5:12AM, Jan 21, 2021 UTC

Total Volume: 0.0604

This bet has been resolved!

The outcome was "Impeached, but not removed"

0.06035809 was split between 19 bettors.
No
Volume:0.0010
0.0024095
# of Bets:4
Impeached, but not removed
Volume:0.0545
0.09442176
# of Bets:19
Impeached, and removed
Volume:0.0047
0.009094
# of Bets:6
Removed via 25th amendment
Volume:0.0002
0.000496
# of Bets:1

Discussion

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betterment 7:14AM, Jan 16, 2021 UTC
Somewhat relevant bet; if any Patriot trusts that Trump will invoke the Insurrection Act or declare martial law, there's a chance to make money: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/the-insurrection-act-or-martial-law-to-be-enacted-in-us-5391 I can bet more on NO if there's interest.
dhorks 9:49PM, Jan 13, 2021 UTC
Rstiltskin 9:22PM, Jan 12, 2021 UTC
If the house impeaches trump, but does not transfer the articles of impeachment to the senate, does this count as impeached, but not removed?

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