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Trump elected president in 2020 [Fixed Odds]

Trump elected president in 2020 [Fixed Odds]
Category:
Politics
By
Eirik
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Description

Will Donald Trump win re-election in 2020 to remain president.

If you would like to bet more than the matched offer allow you to, let me know in the comments so that I can increase the house stake. You can also lay offers. I will continuously update the odds according to oddschecker.

Let the games begin!

Decision Logic

Betting on YES means that you believe Donald Trump will win re-election in 2020

Betting on NO means he was unable to win for any reason which would include any, but not limited to, the following examples:

Being challenged and losing during the primaries
Resigning from or being removed from the presidency
Losing the general election in 2020
Death

Early resolution is possible

CLOSING IN2020-11-01 23:00:00

12:17PM, Nov 12, 2019 UTC

11:00PM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC

11:00PM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC

RESOLVED AT 7:17PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC

Offered Volume: 22.63
Backed Volume: 20.49

This bet has been forwarded to our moderators and will be resolved soon!

YES
Volume
17.80799641
# Bets
113
NO
Volume
2.67907276
# Bets
44

Placed Bets

Time User Option Bet Amount Odds Payout
10:59PM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.3 2.20x 0.00000000
10:53PM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.006 2.20x 0.00000000
10:53PM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC 3ttt Yes 0.04 2.20x 0.00000000
10:07PM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC Hsiaobets Yes 0.02173517 2.18x 0.00000000
10:03PM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC synthaur Yes 0.05 2.18x 0.00000000
9:32PM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.55247557 2.18x 0.00000000
9:07PM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.6 2.42x 0.00000000
7:04PM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC FreedomOfTrade Yes 0.03011238 2.50x 0.00000000
5:14PM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC ceterisparibus Yes 0.005 2.38x 0.00000000
1:15PM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0404 2.38x 0.00000000
11:50AM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC jlim087 Yes 0.07737731 2.38x 0.00000000
11:03AM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03646445 2.38x 0.00000000
9:29AM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC Hsiaobets Yes 0.07 2.38x 0.00000000
7:54AM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC phelphagriff No 0.017 1.33x 0.02193170
4:09AM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC Galewind Yes 0.07277513 2.37x 0.00000000
1:15AM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC Coolvibrations Yes 0.07279 2.37x 0.00000000
12:08AM, Nov 1, 2020 UTC docker Yes 0.04401308 2.37x 0.00000000
10:25PM, Oct 31, 2020 UTC 4TUVeli Yes 0.02 2.37x 0.00000000
3:40PM, Oct 31, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0076 2.36x 0.00000000
8:02AM, Oct 31, 2020 UTC Toastertech Yes 1.4268996 2.34x 0.00000000
2:13AM, Oct 31, 2020 UTC Fernando009 Yes 0.11 2.33x 0.00000000
7:35PM, Oct 30, 2020 UTC acesblue Yes 0.00749688 2.32x 0.00000000
5:01PM, Oct 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 2.32x 0.00000000
5:43AM, Oct 30, 2020 UTC Nylan Yes 1.0996 2.32x 0.00000000
4:32AM, Oct 30, 2020 UTC jz1 Yes 0.0053 2.32x 0.00000000
4:04AM, Oct 30, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.037 2.32x 0.00000000
2:39AM, Oct 30, 2020 UTC jz1 Yes 0.005 2.32x 0.00000000
2:37PM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC fritz Yes 0.0059456 2.30x 0.00000000
12:24PM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.04481278 2.28x 0.00000000
10:55AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03949891 2.27x 0.00000000
7:17AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC isami Yes 0.02511872 2.41x 0.00000000
4:11AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC HarveySchlang Yes 0.1 2.49x 0.00000000
3:07AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC AvonPsicorps Yes 0.049 2.49x 0.00000000
2:35AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC jeb_bush No 0.00676305 1.30x 0.00852821
2:26AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.19093311 2.49x 0.00000000
1:03AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC connor5055 No 0.622 1.40x 0.84467600
12:46AM, Oct 29, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.008 2.50x 0.00000000
11:34PM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC Lordkek Yes 0.03693455 2.50x 0.00000000
10:43PM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC dwisdom Yes 0.1 2.50x 0.00000000
6:06PM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.08436752 2.50x 0.00000000
12:24PM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC OnlineDegen Yes 0.11200333 2.49x 0.00000000
10:10AM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC mrksdiehl Yes 0.02750493 2.34x 0.00000000
7:48AM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC docker Yes 0.0483373 2.34x 0.00000000
7:41AM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC mrksdiehl Yes 0.01840402 2.34x 0.00000000
5:17AM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.00765 2.23x 0.00000000
4:55AM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC Turbodog77 Yes 0.18653402 2.23x 0.00000000
4:37AM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC KBD20 Yes 0.01 2.23x 0.00000000
12:43AM, Oct 28, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.01 2.22x 0.00000000
11:38PM, Oct 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 2.22x 0.00000000
11:33PM, Oct 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.008 2.22x 0.00000000
9:28PM, Oct 27, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03209173 2.20x 0.00000000
2:18PM, Oct 27, 2020 UTC Rn3 Yes 0.03677035 2.19x 0.00000000
4:49PM, Oct 26, 2020 UTC dweeb Yes 0.00773239 2.13x 0.00000000
4:22AM, Oct 26, 2020 UTC stochastique Yes 0.40530612 2.10x 0.00000000
9:30PM, Oct 25, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.41 2.06x 0.00000000
9:15PM, Oct 25, 2020 UTC kazanecki Yes 0.04 2.06x 0.00000000
12:37PM, Oct 25, 2020 UTC thesplat Yes 1.5 2.05x 0.00000000
2:04AM, Oct 25, 2020 UTC algalon Yes 0.00708524 2.04x 0.00000000
1:44PM, Oct 24, 2020 UTC mrksdiehl Yes 0.3 2.09x 0.00000000
12:33PM, Oct 24, 2020 UTC Kodo Yes 0.38674 2.08x 0.00000000
12:59PM, Oct 23, 2020 UTC mrksdiehl Yes 0.1 2.01x 0.00000000
4:49AM, Oct 23, 2020 UTC mrksdiehl Yes 0.11062602 2.01x 0.00000000
4:50PM, Oct 22, 2020 UTC cmking94 Yes 0.05167901 2.04x 0.00000000
12:42PM, Oct 22, 2020 UTC gpac200 Yes 0.171 1.86x 0.00000000
4:35AM, Oct 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.36591917 1.87x 0.00000000
2:12AM, Oct 22, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 1.86x 0.00000000
9:14PM, Oct 21, 2020 UTC Zarathustra Yes 0.04334873 1.86x 0.00000000
7:45PM, Oct 21, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.2 1.92x 0.00000000
9:52AM, Oct 21, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 1.1 2.01x 0.00000000
6:50PM, Oct 20, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 1.34 2.30x 0.00000000
1:34PM, Oct 20, 2020 UTC betOVERbet Yes 0.13485314 2.30x 0.00000000
4:34PM, Oct 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.015 1.45x 0.02109750
3:26PM, Oct 19, 2020 UTC DAVEPROPOSAL Yes 0.012 2.30x 0.00000000
7:37AM, Oct 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.8 2.30x 0.00000000
6:23AM, Oct 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.1 2.31x 0.00000000
9:01PM, Oct 18, 2020 UTC mrdifi Yes 0.1 2.31x 0.00000000
8:02AM, Oct 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.41x 0.00683850
7:08AM, Oct 17, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.082 2.53x 0.00000000
8:17PM, Oct 15, 2020 UTC DAVEPROPOSAL Yes 0.035 2.53x 0.00000000
4:27AM, Oct 15, 2020 UTC isami Yes 0.03533593 2.53x 0.00000000
6:44PM, Oct 14, 2020 UTC DAVEPROPOSAL Yes 0.03 2.53x 0.00000000
6:22PM, Oct 14, 2020 UTC DAVEPROPOSAL Yes 0.04 2.53x 0.00000000
6:14PM, Oct 14, 2020 UTC DAVEPROPOSAL Yes 0.045 2.53x 0.00000000
5:03PM, Oct 13, 2020 UTC planetnine No 0.076 1.39x 0.10247080
7:04AM, Oct 13, 2020 UTC isami Yes 0.017369 2.53x 0.00000000
5:05PM, Oct 12, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.006 2.53x 0.00000000
4:49AM, Oct 12, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.02 2.51x 0.00000000
2:17AM, Oct 12, 2020 UTC tiffegut No 0.01 1.43x 0.01387100
2:15AM, Oct 12, 2020 UTC tiffegut Yes 0.3 2.51x 0.00000000
9:58PM, Oct 11, 2020 UTC codylundin69 Yes 0.01223976 2.52x 0.00000000
5:52AM, Oct 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01100967 2.37x 0.00000000
5:44PM, Oct 10, 2020 UTC isami Yes 0.01896 2.35x 0.00000000
5:40PM, Oct 10, 2020 UTC isami Yes 0.01363 2.39x 0.00000000
7:02AM, Oct 10, 2020 UTC dextexuyin No 0.01739186 1.43x 0.02412425
10:45AM, Oct 9, 2020 UTC dextexuyin No 0.02334825 1.44x 0.03261284
2:58PM, Oct 3, 2020 UTC iAH47jK Yes 0.501 1.95x 0.00000000
10:00PM, Oct 2, 2020 UTC robertsonic No 0.005 1.40x 0.00679000
4:23PM, Oct 2, 2020 UTC lexnexus00 Yes 0.14716467 2.00x 0.00000000
12:15AM, Oct 2, 2020 UTC rafik19 No 0.031 1.64x 0.04931480
2:47PM, Oct 1, 2020 UTC resolve Yes 0.0195153 1.90x 0.00000000
9:24AM, Sep 30, 2020 UTC dextexuyin No 0.01 1.57x 0.01522900
12:21AM, Sep 29, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.066 1.90x 0.00000000
9:37AM, Sep 28, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.02 1.89x 0.03666600
4:18AM, Sep 28, 2020 UTC robertsonic No 0.005 1.89x 0.00916650
1:15PM, Sep 26, 2020 UTC dextexuyin No 0.04051261 1.86x 0.07309285
7:24AM, Sep 25, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.018 1.90x 0.03317400
3:31AM, Sep 24, 2020 UTC robertsonic No 0.005 1.90x 0.00921500
5:15PM, Sep 21, 2020 UTC LucyF Yes 0.015 1.65x 0.00000000
10:29PM, Sep 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.28913798 1.90x 0.53288130
7:55PM, Sep 19, 2020 UTC rot67 No 0.0216 1.90x 0.03980880
4:23PM, Sep 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.00523572 1.90x 0.00964943
3:35PM, Sep 19, 2020 UTC pegoti No 0.00989 1.90x 0.01822727
2:23PM, Sep 18, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.02 1.83x 0.03550200
3:44AM, Sep 14, 2020 UTC madameirma Yes 0.014865 1.62x 0.00000000
9:15AM, Sep 9, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.051 1.68x 0.08310960
1:03AM, Sep 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.024 1.70x 0.03957600
6:40AM, Sep 6, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.015 1.70x 0.02473500
6:39AM, Sep 6, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.02 1.92x 0.03724800
10:37PM, Sep 5, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.005 1.92x 0.00931200
8:52PM, Sep 5, 2020 UTC Zarathustra Yes 0.04 1.50x 0.00000000
12:39AM, Sep 2, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.03 1.46x 0.00000000
4:57PM, Aug 30, 2020 UTC Smartisan Yes 0.009 1.55x 0.00000000
11:09PM, Aug 29, 2020 UTC bafonix No 0.0089 1.91x 0.01648903
5:42PM, Aug 22, 2020 UTC Dilu Yes 0.0053 1.61x 0.00000000
3:11AM, Aug 19, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.02 1.50x 0.02910000
9:27PM, Jul 31, 2020 UTC bengals45 Yes 0.02591036 2.00x 0.00000000
3:04AM, Jul 21, 2020 UTC jonnyq Yes 0.45 2.04x 0.00000000
7:53PM, Jul 17, 2020 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.02122966 1.40x 0.02882988
7:28AM, Jul 16, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01601556 1.40x 0.02174913
4:44PM, Jul 13, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.75 1.71x 0.00000000
7:17PM, Jul 12, 2020 UTC Blackspiody No 0.008526 1.40x 0.01157831
2:02AM, Jul 11, 2020 UTC Ichise Yes 0.4404 2.21x 0.00000000
12:30AM, Jul 3, 2020 UTC Carnitastaco No 0.05 1.40x 0.06790000
2:48AM, Jul 2, 2020 UTC bm870599519652 No 0.4 1.50x 0.58200000
8:14PM, Jun 27, 2020 UTC rebelancerian No 0.02 1.51x 0.02929400
12:24AM, Jun 26, 2020 UTC sinmantky No 0.01 1.61x 0.01561700
10:49PM, Jun 7, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.0052 1.50x 0.00000000
8:01AM, May 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.01 1.52x 0.01474400
7:59AM, May 11, 2020 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.01 1.40x 0.00000000
6:11PM, May 8, 2020 UTC Zarathustra Yes 0.052 1.27x 0.00000000
1:53PM, Apr 29, 2020 UTC OnlineDegen No 0.324 2.07x 0.65055960
4:13PM, Apr 3, 2020 UTC Anonymous No 0.031 2.00x 0.06014000
5:32PM, Mar 19, 2020 UTC ContentConifer No 0.00692207 2.00x 0.01342882
8:16AM, Mar 11, 2020 UTC connor5055 No 0.13 2.01x 0.25346100
9:02PM, Mar 7, 2020 UTC netscout1 No 0.1122 2.00x 0.21766800
6:31PM, Mar 7, 2020 UTC netscout1 No 0.1124 2.02x 0.22023656
12:43PM, Feb 20, 2020 UTC RonMexico Yes 0.01 1.20x 0.00000000
7:37PM, Feb 18, 2020 UTC 3ttt Yes 0.01 1.50x 0.00000000
8:27PM, Dec 20, 2019 UTC 3ttt Yes 0.05 2.00x 0.00000000
10:24PM, Dec 19, 2019 UTC 3ttt Yes 0.07 2.00x 0.00000000
7:46PM, Dec 2, 2019 UTC Zarathustra Yes 0.02 1.90x 0.00000000
1:00AM, Dec 2, 2019 UTC posclegom Yes 0.55446503 2.00x 0.00000000
5:37PM, Nov 28, 2019 UTC ryuukai No 0.01 1.70x 0.01649000
8:05AM, Nov 26, 2019 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.016 1.90x 0.00000000
9:52PM, Nov 19, 2019 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.02739543 2.10x 0.00000000
3:21AM, Nov 17, 2019 UTC Anonymous Yes 0.066 2.18x 0.00000000
9:59AM, Nov 13, 2019 UTC Eirik Yes 0.01 2.18x 0.00000000
See more

Discussion

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donuthole 7:31PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
Wow ok, didn't realize we were relying on CNN projections instead of the electoral college. As others have said, report is in the top right.
fritz 7:30PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
I reported it as not being eligible for resolution yet.
HarveySchlang 7:23PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
This should not be resolved until the lawsuits play out. The media does not have legal authority to determine election results.
Blackspiody 6:33PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
"We don't know who won the election". LOL
garbagebaby 6:23PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
"Media called the election" - so what? The media's opinion on the matter is meaningless. At this point, we have to wait for the litigation. In fact, this could conceivably go past Jan 20th if neither candidate is seated by then. We won't know who "won the election" until a candidate concedes or the next president is actually sworn in, which could in fact happen after Jan 20th under certain very unlikely circumstances.
Blackspiody 6:03PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
Media called the election. Now we just wait, at most January 20th, I guess... Congrats to us that won, better luck next time to the suckers and losers.
Turbodog77 5:46PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
The press does not call the election. One candidate must concede or wait until the president is sworn in on January 20th.
garbagebaby 4:52PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
In the interests of fairness to everyone, this proposition should stay open until either one candidate concedes, or January 20th. No sooner than one of those two things. It is clear that this is a contested election and that, no matter what the media says or "calls", legal remedies are still being pursued by Trump. It's really bizarre to me that some of the other Trump bets have already been closed by the prop-makers. If I was in them, I definitely would have disputed.
AHamilton 6:37AM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
I'm actually bullish that once the agonizingly slow counting is finished, Trump will concede. There's not really any legal challenges in the works. A couple states will have recounts, but they won't be decisive. Republicans and Trump's own aides are already throwing him under the bus. He will cave by Tuesday.
FreedomOfTrade 8:46PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
The US will split and go into civil war after a national recount shows Kanye West actually won 100% of the votes. 100BTC down right now who's in?
donuthole 6:06PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
@AHamiltion The media announced Arizona, then flip-flopped, then flipped back. I'm not going to contest a resolution after either candidate is sworn in because then they are quite literally President, otherwise all other avenues have to be exhausted. Until one candidate concedes or all legal avenues by either side have been attempted, we're still in a toss-up of who has won.
AHamilton 3:37PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
Maybe, but, when do you think they will mount a legal challenge? So far, there are not actually any serious legal challenges. Georgia will go for a recount, but Pennsylvania and Arizona obviously will not. Thus, Georgia is going to be moot.
Turbodog77 3:23PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
This will probably be resolved in court. Not by media.
AHamilton 2:50PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
Yeah, the Decision Desk has called the race for Biden, but the major networks are holding off. There can only be a decision here when the networks call it. Not before.
FreedomOfTrade 8:14AM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
Electors decide in about 5,5 weeks. Looks like we're in for a while.
Hodgkinson 6:07AM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
Nothing about a new president being sworn.
Hodgkinson 6:07AM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
I’m sure it will reach consensus within a few days or weeks but technically that’s not true. This is the exact wording (key point “unable to win for any reason”) Betting on NO means he was unable to win for any reason which would include any, but not limited to, the following examples: Being challenged and losing during the primaries Resigning from or being removed from the presidency Losing the general election in 2020 Death Early resolution is possible
donuthole 5:51PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC
A technicality to point out, this bet is on whether Trump remains president and until someone else gets sworn in he remains president unless removed by other means.
Turbodog77 5:18PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC
Looks like there is massive voter fraud going on. Please don't call victory too early.
AHamilton 5:04AM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC
I think this may be decided in 24-48 hours. Pennsylvania is looking like it won't be all that close, in the end, and once a few more states are called (Arizona, Georgia), there might be a concession, which makes it easy.
FreedomOfTrade 1:07AM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC
@jeb_bush Worked it out that they need about 5/8ths of the remaining 12% PA votes to turn blue. Ok maybe. But more importantly, what's your beef with Greenland?
jeb_bush 10:19PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
Well this went exactly as expected :) The margins are going to be a fair bit larger than that by the end of the count @FreedomOfTrade PA will go blue by the end I imagine. Mail in blue shift and all that that was expected and indeed, panned out.
FreedomOfTrade 9:56PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
Holly ****... Trump is projected to loose the whole election by less than a hundred of votes in ******** nowhere Nevada... https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results I projected all the current vote %ages by county and got that Trump will loose by 124 votes... Will update until it's all counted. Spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Yo2aGHRZaaYamfes6_xfUxmEnTEA8VCS3APNDv_YTSA/edit?usp=sharing
Eirik 6:17PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
Good @BetMoose, I will leave it to you. No way this is settling within the next 5 hours.
Nylan 6:00PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
Will this wait to be called until the electorate votes on 14 December? Looking like this'll end up being contested in courts.
Avalon 5:55PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
There is no specific pressure for you resolve these if the outcome is unclear. Wait until it is certain then trigger the resolution. We're not going to be jumping in and resolving prematurely to take your host commissions don't worry :)
leen93 5:39PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
sorry, i was talking about the one I opened. Betmoose, how will this be decided? If all the big media calls either 1 of them a winner?
leen93 5:35PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
am i expected to do something? Usually we know the result by the following day, but it might not be the case (unless either Biden or Trump wins both Michigan and Wisconsin, we will need to wait for PA)
BetMoose 5:08PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
Generally speaking outcomes are meant to be known by the outcome resolution time set by the proposition creator. That message just means we will take over verifying the bet's decision logic if the host does not do it themselves in the allotted time. Given that the results will take time to become clear in this bet we're expecting some delays in the hosts being able to properly settle their propositions.
FreedomOfTrade 5:04PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
@leen93 Naah, media is just coping. "Voters select presidential electors who in turn will vote on December 14, 2020". 40 days left I guess.. Is there a .gov website I can find the real results on? Why is media even in charge of giving out the news?

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