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The 45th or 46th U.S. President in 2020
The 45th or 46th U.S. President in 2020
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Description
The 2020 U.S. Presidential race closes on election day Tuesday NOV3, 2020. The elected president becomes the 46th U.S. President if Trump does not win. State voters will select presidential electors who in turn elect a president and vice president through the electoral college.
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This proposition mimics the 2016 one by sandhog, which opened before major parties nominated final candiates, and closed shortly before election day.
Decision Logic
Final results with major media announcements of the winner. Without a consensus, such as with the 2000 recount that involved the U.S. Supreme Court, the outcome may be delayed until certain.
CLOSING IN2020-11-03 04:55:00
3:34PM, Feb 12, 2020 UTC
4:55AM, Nov 3, 2020 UTC
3:00AM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
RESOLVED AT 4:56PM, Nov 7, 2020 UTC
Total Volume: 66.97
This bet has been resolved!
The outcome was "OTHER"
66.96795825 was split between 139 bettors.
TRUMP
| Volume: | 37.73 |
| # of Bets: | 93 |
SANDERS
| Volume: | 0.1464 |
| # of Bets: | 15 |
BUTTIGIEG
| Volume: | 0.0209 |
| # of Bets: | 7 |
BLOOMBERG
| Volume: | 0.0165 |
| # of Bets: | 6 |
OTHER
| Volume: | 29.05 |
| # of Bets: | 139 |
Discussion
vegtru
9:56PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
@jagsbeach -- Dude- NEWS DOES NOT ELECT THE PRESIDENT.
Your post states CLEARLY "Without a consensus, such as with the 2000 recount that involved the U.S. Supreme Court, the outcome may be delayed until certain."
This is GOING to the supreme court. Despite MEDIA --- they do not ELECT a president. You MUST wait for the final say-- or you will be robbing people from their bet extremely prematurely.
Trump has said he will not concede and has taken it to the supreme court.
jagsbeach
6:58PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
*consensus. I'm hoping for three of ABC, CBS, NBC, FOX.
jagsbeach
6:54PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
Per decision logic, major media announcements determine the winner. I'm watching closely for a conscious projecting the winner.
Simply_Unlucky
3:27PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
@vegtru He's not gonna get far in court to be honest, but yeah might as well I guess. Not gonna change much though
ungabunga
3:14PM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
I am supporting @vegtru request.
vegtru
4:19AM, Nov 6, 2020 UTC
@jagsbeach can you commit to not ending this until it's FULLY settled by courts? I think many of us would be pissed off if the decision was later changed.
d_d
10:05PM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC
If I am reading this correctly Trump is going to get 268 electoral votes, this is as close to the Electoral College tie, as it could be.
vegtru
5:46AM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC
FYI. This is going to go to court. I expect judgment on this bet to be postponed until all options are finished? This is a VERY big bet for many.
BitMoose
12:07AM, Nov 5, 2020 UTC
If you are struggling with suicidal thoughts or are experiencing a mental health crisis, call the 24/7 National Suicide Prevention hotline at 1-800-273-8255 or go to SuicidePreventionLifeline.org.
posclegom
6:34PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
@BetMoose Wow, it's the Boss him/herself! Thanks Boss for clarifying the situation. I'm relieved now and will await more election information as they become available over the subsequent few days.
BetMoose
5:03PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
Generally speaking outcomes are meant to be known by the outcome resolution time set by the proposition creator. That message just means we will take over verifying the bet's decision logic if the host does not do it themselves in the allotted time. Given that the results will take time to become clear in this bet we're expecting some delays in the hosts being able to properly settle their propositions.
Simply_Unlucky
3:49PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
posclegom I'd like to know that as well
posclegom
3:40PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
Wait. I don't understand. How does "Host has 11 hours left to decide the outcome. We'll take care of it if they don't." even apply in this case? If no results come out by the 11th hour, are they just gonna take away all our money?
jagsbeach
1:48PM, Nov 4, 2020 UTC
Pennsylvania officials have said they expect most votes will be counted Friday, NOV6.
d_d
10:02PM, Oct 27, 2020 UTC
you can get some good odds on Trump here: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/how-many-electoral-votes-donald-trump-will-get-5166#bets-1
posclegom
1:38PM, Oct 26, 2020 UTC
Last night a friend of mine, who is perhaps a bit over-zealous with American politics, said that she's losing sleep over the fact that the ballots that have been cast so far have been counted and showing a massive lead for Biden. Is there any merit to what she said or is this yet another example of fake news?
Simply_Unlucky
3:03PM, Oct 23, 2020 UTC
@AHamilton yeah true, Trump gon lose lol
AHamilton
7:58AM, Oct 23, 2020 UTC
New Popular Vote Market: You can get 2.75:1 betting on Donald Trump: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-donald-trump-win-the-popular-vote-in-2020-5165#new
AHamilton
8:11AM, Oct 22, 2020 UTC
Best Trump Odds on this site right here: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/2020-us-president-election-5116
AHamilton
5:29AM, Oct 21, 2020 UTC
@Simply_Unlucky I wouldn't worry about it, this election is not particularly close. MAGA!
AHamilton
5:28AM, Oct 21, 2020 UTC
Reminder, @Javan, you can get a 105% return betting on Trump here: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/2020-us-president-election-5116
Simply_Unlucky
4:47PM, Oct 20, 2020 UTC
Sooo, what happens if it takes a month for the OFFICAL results? We know a huge portion of people will be voting by mail, and actually a record number
AHamilton
2:55PM, Oct 14, 2020 UTC
@draqon, you can get 2:1 odds on Trump here: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/2020-us-president-election-5116
AHamilton
2:42PM, Oct 14, 2020 UTC
Draqon, any reason in particular you made 14 small bets instead of one larger bet?
MooseMe
12:06PM, Oct 7, 2020 UTC
@jagsbeach Thanks for getting back. Okay. Maybe a good bet for someone to run now would be something on the odds of "major media announcements" such as odds that MSNBC and Fox News will be announcing a different winner for as long as three weeks after November 3rd.
jagsbeach
5:02PM, Oct 3, 2020 UTC
@MooseMe. Per decision logic, major media announcements of the winner. If there is no media consensus it would likely fall to a court decision. Claims by parties or candidates are not considered. Also a note: Unless Congress delays the election, voters will still choose between the Republican Trump and Democrat Joe Biden even if one died or withdrew before Nov. 3.
MooseMe
3:08PM, Oct 2, 2020 UTC
Anyone -- What happens if it takes a month or more for a winner to be confirmed? What if there's lots of back-and-forth about who won? Will the resolution of this bet wait until there's a definite sit-in-the-White-House president winner?
Hodgkinson
11:23AM, Sep 30, 2020 UTC
Welp, there go the good fixed price odds for biden. Should have grabbed them while I could.
AHamilton
7:10AM, Sep 29, 2020 UTC
True there is less volume over there, but at present you can wager roughly .3 bitcoin on either at good returns.
Hodgkinson
11:03AM, Sep 28, 2020 UTC
Also this betting pool will even out closer to the election. Smart money will arbitrage any disparity between this pool and bookies odds.
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